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On the troubling rise of self-pollination, Chinese EV tariffs, and speed limits

Current conditions: Southern California remains at risk of flooding and may even see some waterspouts or tornadoes • A wildfire is burning out of control in Perth, in Australia • It's the shortest day of the year in the Northern Hemisphere.
The Biden administration is reportedly considering raising tariffs on electric vehicles made in China, which tend to run cheaper than those made in the U.S. The move would be an attempt to “bolster the U.S. clean energy industry,” explains The Wall Street Journal. Chinese EVs are already subject to a 25% tariff. While an increase wouldn’t mean much in the immediate term for most Americans, it would put added strain on relations with China, which are already tense. Global markets are facing a glut of cheap Chinese clean-energy products, and the administration is reportedly also considering higher levies on solar products and EV battery packs, the Journal reports.
Wildflowers may be evolving to rely less on pollinators in order to reproduce as insect numbers decline. A new study published in the journal New Phytologist looked at flowering plants that grow in farmland near Paris and found they have become smaller and now produce less nectar than they would have 20 to 30 years ago. “Our study shows that pansies are evolving to give up on their pollinators,” says Pierre-Olivier Cheptou, one of the study’s authors. “They are evolving towards self-pollination, where each plant reproduces with itself, which works in the short term but may well limit their capacity to adapt to future environmental changes.” While the study “demonstrates that plant mating systems can evolve rapidly ... in the face of ongoing environmental changes,” the authors say, it paints a troubling picture of a symbiotic relationship in a spiral: As insect populations suffer from loss of habitat and overuse of pesticides, plants begin to rely on them less and produce less nectar, exacerbating their decline.
A U.S. auction of oil drilling rights in the Gulf of Mexico went ahead yesterday. This is the last auction until 2025. Here are a few key numbers:
Danish energy giant Orsted plans to go ahead with building the world’s largest offshore wind farm, reports the Financial Times. The 2.9 gigawatt Hornsea 3 project is located in the North Sea. It will cost £8 billion (about $10 billion) and represents Orsted’s single biggest investment decision. Once finished in 2027, the project will power 3.3 million homes. Last month Orsted cancelled two major U.S. offshore wind projects and took a $4 billion writedown as a result. The Hornsea 3 investment shows “the offshore wind industry is picking back up, after a crisis year,” concludes Priscila Azevedo Rocha at Bloomberg.
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Speed limits in some major U.S. cities are dropping, Yale Climate Connections reports. This is a “win for the climate” because slower vehicle speeds make for safer city streets, which could nudge people more toward less polluting modes of transportation, like walking or cycling. Seattle, Denver, Minneapolis, Hoboken, and Washington, D.C., have all lowered their speed limits, according to Yale Climate Connections. “Safety and environmental goals go together. They’re inevitably interlinked,” says Venu Nemani, the chief safety officer of the Seattle Department of Transportation.
A recent White House briefing says more than one million EVs have been sold in the U.S. in 2023 — “three years ahead of the projections made earlier this year and 18 years ahead of the projections made in the beginning of 2021.”

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Current conditions: Repeated rounds of storms will dump up to 4 inches of rain from Texas to the Great Lakes • Jerusalem, where Passover just began for Jews, is wrapping up a rain storm, with sunny skies and roughly 65-degree Fahrenheit weather predicted throughout the duration of the eight-day holiday • A Saharan dust storm is turning the sky over parts of Greece an eerie orange and red.
At 6:35 p.m. ET last night, I watched my daughter reach her hand up at the image on our television of one of the most powerful rockets the United States has ever launched, carrying America’s first lunar crew in half a century. Looking at her stare up in wonder, I prayed that the greatest achievements of our civilization lie ahead of us, forged not of zero-sum contests between adversaries but peaceful competition among rivals. Parenthood makes it difficult not to think in such dramatic terms. But there’s the fact, too, that this successful launch puts us one step closer to something extraordinary: A nuclear power plant on the moon. As I told you back in January, the Department of Energy set a goal of installing a nuclear reactor on the moon in the next four years. The mission will slingshot the crew of four astronauts — commander Reid Wiseman, pilot Victor Glover, mission specialist Christina Koch, and Canadian Space Agency astronaut Jeremy Hansen — around the moon and back to Earth. The subsequent two U.S. launches — Artemis IV and V, which are scheduled for 2028 — will bring crews to the lunar surface. “This time, the goal is not flags and footprints,” NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said last week, according to E&E News. “This time, the goal is to stay.” NASA aims to have a nuclear reactor ready to make the journey to the moon by the end of the decade.
One of the country’s leading next-generation nuclear developers is also stepping up its ambition. Executives from TerraPower, the Bill Gates-backed sodium reactor startup, held talks with the utility Evergy about a potential power plant in Kansas this week. “We’re not ready to announce any sites. Multiple communities in Kansas have kind of raised their hand and said they’re willing to host a Natrium power plant,” TerraPower CEO Chris Levesque told Fox4 Kansas City.
Japan is turning its nuclear reactors back on, looking at building wind turbines, and relaxing rules on coal-fired stations to bolster its electricity supply as the Iran War halts the flow of liquified natural gas through the Strait of Hormuz. But the country invested a lot in LNG infrastructure as the fuel replaced atomic energy following the shutdowns triggered by the 2011 Fukushima disaster. So it’s also looking for new supplies. The Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security, a government-owned investor, launched a new initiative Wednesday to offer a return on LNG investments. The industry is already abuzz. In just the past week, at least two Japanese companies have made big LNG investments.
On Wednesday night, three hours after the rocket launch, President Donald Trump gave a televised speech highlighting what he described as U.S. achievements in the Iran War and setting the stage for the conflict to wind down. But he offered no specific timelines, and oil prices rose steadily throughout the speech.

U.S. coal exports fell in 2025 for the first time in four years as overseas sales of thermal coal dropped by 18% and metallurgical coal by 11%. If you thought this could be a sign of Trump’s coal revival taking hold, think again. The plunge, according to the Energy Information Administration’s latest report, “largely reflects a 92% decrease in exports to China in 2025 compared with 2024, after China imposed a 15% additional tariff on imports of U.S. coal in February of last year and 34% reciprocal tariff on imports from the United States in April.”

U.S. production of crude, on the other hand, surged by 3%, or 350,000 barrels per day, in 2025. That set a new annual record of 13.6 million barrels per day, the EIA found in a separate analysis. If that’s “drill, baby, drill” in action, then the catchphrase deserves an asterisk indicating that the drilling is taking place in the same locations as before. The number of active rigs per month in the lower 48 states was 5% less than in 2024, and 1% fewer wells were drilled. But efficiency improvements at existing wells resulted in an increase of crude.
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In November 2023, the nation’s leading effort to deploy new small modular reactors, developer NuScale’s project supplying electricity to the Utah Associated Municipal Power Systems, collapsed as inflation sent costs soaring. Oregon-based NuScale, as I have reported for Heatmap, has struggled to make major progress since. Now a report released this week by the Energy Department’s inspector general has determined that the Office of Nuclear Energy “did not effectively manage the project.” In total, the project wasted about $183 million in federal funding “without key results,” including $143.5 million that the Office of Nuclear Energy gave to NuScale up front without any serious oversight or conditions.
Last month, I told you about GE Vernova and the Japanese company IHI running tests to see whether a gas turbine could run on ammonia, the green version of which is made without producing carbon emissions. If that could work, green ammonia could offer a way to eliminate emissions from gas plants without rendering relatively new turbines suddenly worthless. But green ammonia has traditionally cost much more than the natural gas-based gray ammonia. Not anymore, at least not in Asia. The price of green ammonia is now cheaper than that of gray ammonia due to the ongoing conflict in Iran, Hydrogen Insight reported.
How’s this for a cursed AI prompt: Remake Frank Sinatra’s “The Coffee Song” but make it about rare earths. The U.S. just secured a deal with Brazil to give $565 million in a loan from the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation to produce rare earths at Serra Verde’s mine. The move comes right after the U.S. managed to snatch up one of the few Congolese cobalt miners that China didn’t already control.
Current conditions: Snow is returning to the Upper Midwest, with as much as a foot set to dump on Duluth, Minnesota • Crater Lake National Park in Oregon just registered the lowest snow water equivalent ever recorded for this time of year • Pago Pago, the capital of American Samoa and the United States’ southernmost city, is weathering days of intense thunderstorms.
Big news from over here at Heatmap: Today, in partnership with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and CleanEcon, we launched the Electricity Price Hub, a new public data platform that provides monthly, utility-level estimates of residential electricity rates and bills across the United States going back to 2021, broken down by generation, transmission, and distribution costs.
To kick off the new feature, we have:

Total residential electricity costs as a fraction of personal expenditure came out to 1.25%, according to new data from the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. That would be near an all-time low, but slightly above 2024 levels. Total residential electricity costs as a fraction of total income was also near an all-time low, at 1%. Once again, that metric was also flat in recent years with a slight increase in 2025.
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Last week, Slovenia became the first European Union nation to introduce fuel rationing amid the energy shock from the Iran War. Now the European Commission has begun urging Europeans to work from home and drive and fly less. Brussels’ top governing body also pressed countries across the bloc to speed up construction of renewables. “Even if … peace is here tomorrow, still we will not go back to normal in the foreseeable future,” Dan Jorgensen, the EU’s energy chief, said in a speech to the energy ministers from all 27 nations, according to Politico.
On Tuesday, Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum assembled the so-called “God Squad,” a rarely-used committee with the authority to waive Endangered Species Act protections under exceptional circumstances. In this case, Burgum gathered the panel to exempt federally-permitted oil and gas drilling in the Gulf of Mexico from the landmark conservation law on national security grounds. The move came in response to a request from Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth. “It took the Trump administration 15 minutes to wipe our crucial environmental safeguards in the Gulf of Mexico,” Jimmy Tobias and Chris D’Angelo wrote in the conservation newsletter Public Domain yesterday. “It took them 15 minutes to condemn an endangered animal to possible extinction. It took them 15 minutes to play God.”
The Trump administration has previously given credence to species conservation arguments against wind energy, both onshore and off. As my colleague Jael Holzman has covered, the administration has used laws protecting eagles to extract information and fines from wind farms, and has appeared to follow a playbook laid out by anti-offshore wind activist groups that includes leveraging marine species protections to block development.
General Motors has once again idled production at its Factory Zero electric vehicle plant in Detroit as demand wanes. The move comes less than three months after a mass layoff and reduction to a single shift, Automotive News reported. The facility was part of a $2.2 billion investment in 2021 to manufacture the GMC Hummer EV and Sierra EV, the Chevrolet Silverado EV, and the Cadillac Escalade IQ electric SUV. The latest temporary layoff impacts 1,300 workers, who were told to stay home starting March 16 and return to work on April 13, the United Auto Workers told InsideEVs.
Just a few years ago, you’d be mistaken for thinking this was an April Fool’s Day joke: New England is going atomic. The governors of all six states signed onto a statement Tuesday outlining steps for what they said is to “strengthen the region’s energy reliability, affordability, and long-term supply” of electricity. “New England has a long tradition of collaborating on regional energy matters. As governors, we are committed to safeguarding our collective energy future through advancement of a diverse energy strategy that includes nuclear power, a pillar of New England’s electric system,” the governors of Massachusetts, Connecticut, Maine, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont wrote.
Introducing the Electricity Price Hub, a partnership between Heatmap News and MIT in collaboration with CleanEcon designed to bring much-needed clarity to the conversation around energy affordability.
As the energy shock generated by the Iran War ripples through the global economy, gas prices are front of mind for many Americans. They are the most visible energy prices in our lives — posted on billboards along the highway and in towns and cities across the country, updated on a day-to-day, even hour-to-hour, basis.
Electricity prices, by contrast, are far less transparent. Even as prices rise across the country, it is difficult for households and businesses to see, let alone understand the price they are paying for electricity and what is behind it.
In nominal terms, electricity rates are up by an average of 33% over the past five years nationwide, adding $35 on average to household bills every month, or $420 per year. Prices in 32 states grew by more than 25% in that time, with six states experiencing increases of over 50%. As electricity prices increase, what was once a relatively stable line item in many Americans’ budgets is now more volatile, compounding broader cost of living pressures.
As the stakes rise for American consumers, the lack of transparency also makes effective policymaking more difficult: Regulators and politicians are making high-stakes decisions about reliability, affordability, and future investment with, at best, partial information.
That is why Heatmap and MIT are launching the Electricity Price Hub, a new public data platform built to address this information gap. The hub provides month-to-month estimates of residential electricity prices and bills for utilities across the United States, from 2020 to the present. For the largest utilities, these estimates are broken down into their core components. By making this data available down to the zip code level, the hub empowers users to understand what they are paying and see how that compares to neighboring communities and states.
That clarity is urgently needed. More than half of Americans say that power bills are causing at least “a decent amount” of stress on their budgets, according to a Heatmap Pro poll from last fall. Electricity prices have already emerged as a political issue in states like New Jersey, Virginia, and Georgia — and are likely to keep rising in voters’ minds.
Last year utilities asked state regulators to approve more than $28 billion in rate increases, according to the research and advocacy group PowerLines. Many of these rate increases won’t take effect for months or even years to come, meaning that some amount of price increase is baked in regardless of how the policy and technology environment changes.
But electricity prices are not the only problem. If the cost per kilowatt-hour of electricity is analogous to the number projected on the neon sign at the gas station, the total monthly cost of electricity use is what you see at the bottom of your receipt when you fill up. As anyone who has ever driven a gas car knows, the ultimate expense is a function of both the size of your tank and how fuel-efficient your car is.
Even where electricity prices appear moderate, electricity bills can be high. Alabama Power, for example, has prices that are just $0.05 above (or 1.3x) the national average. But its average residential bills are among the nation’s highest, at nearly $100 over the national average. (Heatmap’s Emily Pontecorvo has more on how trends in prices and bills can diverge.)
In many areas, it’s not just that bills are rising. Sharp swings in bills are especially difficult for households to manage. The median difference between the highest and lowest bills in 2025 was $92 (a 91% difference). Zooming in on a subset of utilities with the greatest bill volatility, peak-to-trough bill differences often exceed $200, with percentage swings of 200% to 280%. Two utilities in New Jersey, for example, saw average residential bills increase by more than $275 between spring and peak summer months.
Why have electricity prices remained so deeply opaque? In part, this is a function of the byzantine structures that govern our electricity system. We have three major grids, seven regional transmission authorities, 51 state-level regulators, more than 800 rural co-operatives, and roughly 3,000 utilities.
The result is a data environment that is fragmented and inconsistent, and lags well behind real-time price changes:
In the absence of reliable data, simplified narratives fill the void, allowing anyone to pick their chosen villain — be it renewables, data centers, transmission lines, or environmental policies — to blame for system failures. Policymakers risk adopting blunt measures that provide limited and temporary relief but that fail to address critical underlying issues, including the investments required to protect the grid’s long-term reliability and affordability.
Addressing these challenges starts with more timely and detailed data. That is what the Electricity Price Hub is all about. The platform delivers timely data for utilities serving the vast majority of residential customers in each state, with standard estimates that are comparable across states with different regulatory systems and across utilities with different rate structures.
It provides monthly, up-to-date estimates of both electricity prices and bills for a typical residential customer, offering a clearer view of the real cost burden households face and how that burden varies across places and over time. These estimates are more current than any existing public data sources.
We construct these estimates by combining detailed price and price component data for the largest utilities, sourced from state filings and utility rate books. We complement that with data for a wider set of utilities from the U.S. Energy Information Administration to generate standardized, current estimates of monthly average prices and bills.
We also disaggregate electricity prices into their core components: generation, the cost of producing electricity; transmission, the cost of moving power over long distances; distribution, the cost of getting electricity “the last mile” to homes and businesses; and other, a grab bag of regulatory and system-level charges. (You can find more on our methodology here.)
By standardizing and updating this information on a monthly basis, the platform is designed to inform consumers and businesses, and equip federal and state policymakers, regulators, and researchers with the information needed to design targeted, evidence-based responses.
You can now explore this tool for yourself, but here’s what we’ve already learned: There isn’t one cause of rising electricity costs. Prices are rising for different reasons in different places. There is no single national explanation for surging power prices.
Take our data on Maine. The state has long had some of the country’s most expensive electricity prices, and in recent years, distribution-related charges have been rising steadily. The utility Versant Power, for example, has seen distribution charges more than double over the last five years. The rising costs of maintaining and repairing aging distribution infrastructure, made worse by the increasing equipment and construction costs, are behind that trend.
In other parts of the country, extreme weather is driving higher distribution costs. While wildfire-related costs in California currently offer the most extreme example, storm costs are showing up in rising bills across the country. In Florida, for example, Tampa Electric customers have seen storm-related charges rise steadily, increasing from a credit in 2020 to more than $0.027 per kilowatt-hour in 2025.
Elsewhere, other factors are at play. In parts of the Mid-Atlantic, persistent bottlenecks in adding new capacity to the grid — as well as surging power demand, driven primarily by data centers — are causing generation costs to get bid up. In New Jersey, for example, the utility Atlantic City Electric Co’s generation-related charges have increased by more than 50% year on year.
You can already find other stories from the Electricity Price Hub from Heatmap reporters across the site. In some states, for instance, “other” charges are driving up power bills. We also look in detail at what’s going on with prices in PJM Interconnection, the country’s largest grid.
We hope this hub is only the beginning of a new era in open electricity data. If we want a modern electricity system that can deliver affordability, reliability, decarbonization, and economic growth, we will need a modern, up-to-date, and localized data infrastructure to match.