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Climate

AM Briefing: Insects in Decline

On the troubling rise of self-pollination, Chinese EV tariffs, and speed limits

AM Briefing: Insects in Decline
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Southern California remains at risk of flooding and may even see some waterspouts or tornadoes • A wildfire is burning out of control in Perth, in Australia • It's the shortest day of the year in the Northern Hemisphere.

THE TOP FIVE

1. U.S. may hike tariffs on Chinese EVs

The Biden administration is reportedly considering raising tariffs on electric vehicles made in China, which tend to run cheaper than those made in the U.S. The move would be an attempt to “bolster the U.S. clean energy industry,” explainsThe Wall Street Journal. Chinese EVs are already subject to a 25% tariff. While an increase wouldn’t mean much in the immediate term for most Americans, it would put added strain on relations with China, which are already tense. Global markets are facing a glut of cheap Chinese clean-energy products, and the administration is reportedly also considering higher levies on solar products and EV battery packs, the Journal reports.

2. Study suggests some plants are evolving to not need pollinators

Wildflowers may be evolving to rely less on pollinators in order to reproduce as insect numbers decline. A new study published in the journal New Phytologist looked at flowering plants that grow in farmland near Paris and found they have become smaller and now produce less nectar than they would have 20 to 30 years ago. “Our study shows that pansies are evolving to give up on their pollinators,” says Pierre-Olivier Cheptou, one of the study’s authors. “They are evolving towards self-pollination, where each plant reproduces with itself, which works in the short term but may well limit their capacity to adapt to future environmental changes.” While the study “demonstrates that plant mating systems can evolve rapidly ... in the face of ongoing environmental changes,” the authors say, it paints a troubling picture of a symbiotic relationship in a spiral: As insect populations suffer from loss of habitat and overuse of pesticides, plants begin to rely on them less and produce less nectar, exacerbating their decline.

3. U.S. completes auction for Gulf drilling rights

A U.S. auction of oil drilling rights in the Gulf of Mexico went ahead yesterday. This is the last auction until 2025. Here are a few key numbers:

  • 72.7 million – acres that were up for bidding, including 6 million acres considered habitat for the endangered Rice's whale.
  • $382 million – amount raised in the auction, the highest of any federal offshore oil and gas lease sale since 2015, according to Reuters.
  • $88.2 million – highest amount offered, from Hess, for 20 successful bids.
  • 3 – drilling rights auctions the Interior Department will hold over the next five years, the minimum required to comply with the Inflation Reduction Act. It represents “the smallest offshore oil program in U.S. history.”
  • 47 – auctions over five years that were proposed by the Trump administration.
  • 1.1 million – gallons of oil estimated to have spilled into the Gulf from a leak detected last month, the largest Gulf spill since Deepwater Horizon.
  • 8 – days since the U.S. and nearly 200 other nations agreed at COP28 to transition away from fossil fuels.
  • 21 – percent of the world’s oil produced by America in 2022.

4. Orsted commits to building world’s largest offshore wind farm

Danish energy giant Orsted plans to go ahead with building the world’s largest offshore wind farm, reports the Financial Times. The 2.9 gigawatt Hornsea 3 project is located in the North Sea. It will cost £8 billion (about $10 billion) and represents Orsted’s single biggest investment decision. Once finished in 2027, the project will power 3.3 million homes. Last month Orsted cancelled two major U.S. offshore wind projects and took a $4 billion writedown as a result. The Hornsea 3 investment shows “the offshore wind industry is picking back up, after a crisis year,” concludes Priscila Azevedo Rocha at Bloomberg.

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  • 5. Cities are lowering their speed limits

    Speed limits in some major U.S. cities are dropping, Yale Climate Connectionsreports. This is a “win for the climate” because slower vehicle speeds make for safer city streets, which could nudge people more toward less polluting modes of transportation, like walking or cycling. Seattle, Denver, Minneapolis, Hoboken, and Washington, D.C., have all lowered their speed limits, according to Yale Climate Connections. “Safety and environmental goals go together. They’re inevitably interlinked,” says Venu Nemani, the chief safety officer of the Seattle Department of Transportation.

    THE KICKER

    A recent White House briefing says more than one million EVs have been sold in the U.S. in 2023 — “three years ahead of the projections made earlier this year and 18 years ahead of the projections made in the beginning of 2021.”

    The White House

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    Climate

    AM Briefing: A Forecasting Crisis

    On climate chaos, DOE updates, and Walmart’s emissions

    We’re Gonna Need a Better Weather Model
    Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

    Current conditions: Bosnia’s capital of Sarajevo is blanketed in a layer of toxic smog • Temperatures in Perth, in Western Australia, could hit 106 degrees Fahrenheit this weekend • It is cloudy in Washington, D.C., where lawmakers are scrambling to prevent a government shutdown.

    THE TOP FIVE

    1. NOAA might have to change its weather models

    The weather has gotten so weird that the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is holding internal talks about how to adjust its models to produce more accurate forecasts, the Financial Timesreported. Current models are based on temperature swings observed over one part of the Pacific Ocean that have for years correlated consistently with specific weather phenomena across the globe, but climate change seems to be disrupting that cause and effect pattern, making it harder to predict things like La Niña and El Niño. Many forecasters had expected La Niña to appear by now and help cool things down, but that has yet to happen. “It’s concerning when this region we’ve studied and written all these papers on is not related to all the impacts you’d see with [La Niña],” NOAA’s Michelle L’Heureux told the FT. “That’s when you start going ‘uh-oh’ there may be an issue here we need to resolve.”

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    Culture

    2024 Was the Year the Climate Movie Grew Up

    Whether you agree probably depends on how you define “climate movie” to begin with.

    2024 movies.
    Heatmap Illustration

    Climate change is the greatest story of our time — but our time doesn’t seem to invent many great stories about climate change. Maybe it’s due to the enormity and urgency of the subject matter: Climate is “important,” and therefore conscripted to the humorless realms of journalism and documentary. Or maybe it’s because of a misunderstanding on the part of producers and storytellers, rooted in an outdated belief that climate change still needs to be explained to an audience, when in reality they don’t need convincing. Maybe there’s just not a great way to have a character mention climate change and not have it feel super cringe.

    Whatever the reason, between 2016 and 2020, less than 3% of film and TV scripts used climate-related keywords during their runtime, according to an analysis by media researchers at the University of Southern California. (The situation isn’t as bad in literature, where cli-fi has been going strong since at least 2013.) At least on the surface, this on-screen avoidance of climate change continued in 2024. One of the biggest movies of the summer, Twisters, had an extreme weather angle sitting right there, but its director, Lee Isaac Chung, went out of his way to ensure the film didn’t have a climate change “message.”

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    Politics

    Republicans Will Regret Killing Permitting Reform

    They might not be worried now, but Democrats made the same mistake earlier this year.

    Permitting reform's tombstone.
    Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

    Permitting reform is dead in the 118th Congress.

    It died earlier this week, although you could be forgiven for missing it. On Tuesday, bipartisan talks among lawmakers fell apart over a bid to rewrite parts of the National Environmental Policy Act. The changes — pushed for by Representative Bruce Westerman, chairman of the House Natural Resources Committee — would have made it harder for outside groups to sue to block energy projects under NEPA, a 1970 law that governs the country’s process for environmental decisionmaking.

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    Green