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Climate

A New Climate Finance Goal Remains Elusive at COP29

On funding frustrations, stronger hurricane winds, and a lithium deal

A New Climate Finance Goal Remains Elusive at COP29
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: A severe heat wave warning has been issued for most of Australia • Schools are closed across parts of Great Britain due to snow and ice from Storm Bert • The atmospheric river pummeling Northern California will reach peak intensity today.

THE TOP FIVE

1. New COP29 climate finance text is light on critical details

A new draft text for climate finance was released in the early hours at COP29 today. While the document has been significantly cut down from 25 pages to 10, it contains little of substance. The most important detail – how much money developed countries will contribute annually to helping developing countries adapt to climate change – remains undecided, and placeholders have been added to the text where a dollar amount should be: “[X] trillion of dollars annually” and “[X] billion per year.” Negotiators are dismayed. “We came here to talk about money,” Mohamed Adow, director of the thinktank Power Shift Africa, toldThe Associated Press. “The way you measure money is with numbers. We need a check, but all we have right now is a blank piece of paper.”

2. Study: Climate change is boosting hurricane wind speeds

Ocean heat due to human-caused climate change is making Atlantic hurricane winds stronger, according to a new study published in the journal Environmental Research: Climate. Between 2019 and 2023, maximum hurricane wind speeds increased by 18 mph on average. In most cases, the increase was enough to bump a storm into a higher category and bring about more destruction. Eight storms saw wind speeds jump by 25 mph or more; three intensified by two storm categories as a result. So far in 2024, all of the 11 named storms have been made stronger because of climate change. Hurricane Milton’s wind speeds were 24 mph stronger. “We had two Category 5 storms here in 2024,” said Daniel Gilford, a climate scientist at Climate Central and lead author on the study. “Our analysis shows that we would have had zero Category 5 storms without human-caused climate change.”

3. Nuclear regulators greenlight Kairos’ demonstration plant

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission granted Kairos Power permission to build its first electricity-producing plant, the Hermes 2 Demonstration Plant, in Oak Ridge, Tennessee. Kairos’ high-temperature nuclear reactors are cooled by fluoride salt, rather than water. The company began construction on its first demonstration reactor back in July, and the new plant will “build on learnings” from that project. In a news release, Kairos said the project was reviewed and approved in just over one year.

Kairos’ reactor technology uses a fluoride salt coolant.Kairos Power

“The Commission’s approval of the Hermes 2 construction permits marks an important step toward delivering clean electricity from advanced reactors to support decarbonization,” said Mike Laufer, Kairos CEO and co-founder. “We are proud to lead the industry in advanced reactor licensing and look forward to continued collaboration with the NRC as we chart a path forward with future applications.” Kairos signed an agreement with Google in October to deploy small modular reactors that will provide 500 megawatts of power to the tech company’s data centers by 2035.

4. ExxonMobil to supply lithium to large EV battery plant

In case you missed it: ExxonMobil signed a deal this week to supply 100,000 tons of lithium from its Arkansas extraction project to LG Chem’s large EV battery plant in Tennessee. The partnership “could strengthen the U.S. critical mineral supply chain and be a game-changer for EV manufacturers,” Electrekreported. Once completed, LG Chem’s plant is expected to be the largest of its kind in the U.S., producing 60,000 tons of cathode material annually. The move by ExxonMobil is “part of a broader effort among U.S. oil companies to diversify their oil- and gas-focused portfolios,” as E&E Newsexplained.

5. Georgia releases eye-popping new energy demand estimates

Georgia Power recently disclosed that its projected load growth for the next decade from “economic development projects” has gone up by over 12,000 megawatts, to 36,500 megawatts. Just for 2028 to 2029, the pipeline has more than tripled, from 6,000 megawatts to 19,990 megawatts, destined for so-called “large load” projects like new data centers and factories. To give you an idea of just how much power Georgia businesses will demand over the next decade, the two new recently booted up nuclear reactors at Vogtle each have a capacity of around 1,000 megawatts. Of the listed projects that may come online, five will require 1,000 megawatts or more. “The culprit is largely data centers,” wrote Heatmap’s Matthew Zeitlin. “About 3,330 megawatts’ worth of data centers have broken ground in Georgia, and just over 4,100 megawatts are pending construction, vastly outstripping commitments made by industrial customers.”

THE KICKER

Indonesia, the fifth largest generator of coal power in the world, plans to retire its coal power plants within the next 15 years to curb climate change, the nation’s President Prabowo Subianto said at the G20 summit in Brazil.

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Climate

AM Briefing: A Forecasting Crisis

On climate chaos, DOE updates, and Walmart’s emissions

We’re Gonna Need a Better Weather Model
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Bosnia’s capital of Sarajevo is blanketed in a layer of toxic smog • Temperatures in Perth, in Western Australia, could hit 106 degrees Fahrenheit this weekend • It is cloudy in Washington, D.C., where lawmakers are scrambling to prevent a government shutdown.

THE TOP FIVE

1. NOAA might have to change its weather models

The weather has gotten so weird that the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is holding internal talks about how to adjust its models to produce more accurate forecasts, the Financial Timesreported. Current models are based on temperature swings observed over one part of the Pacific Ocean that have for years correlated consistently with specific weather phenomena across the globe, but climate change seems to be disrupting that cause and effect pattern, making it harder to predict things like La Niña and El Niño. Many forecasters had expected La Niña to appear by now and help cool things down, but that has yet to happen. “It’s concerning when this region we’ve studied and written all these papers on is not related to all the impacts you’d see with [La Niña],” NOAA’s Michelle L’Heureux told the FT. “That’s when you start going ‘uh-oh’ there may be an issue here we need to resolve.”

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Culture

2024 Was the Year the Climate Movie Grew Up

Whether you agree probably depends on how you define “climate movie” to begin with.

2024 movies.
Heatmap Illustration

Climate change is the greatest story of our time — but our time doesn’t seem to invent many great stories about climate change. Maybe it’s due to the enormity and urgency of the subject matter: Climate is “important,” and therefore conscripted to the humorless realms of journalism and documentary. Or maybe it’s because of a misunderstanding on the part of producers and storytellers, rooted in an outdated belief that climate change still needs to be explained to an audience, when in reality they don’t need convincing. Maybe there’s just not a great way to have a character mention climate change and not have it feel super cringe.

Whatever the reason, between 2016 and 2020, less than 3% of film and TV scripts used climate-related keywords during their runtime, according to an analysis by media researchers at the University of Southern California. (The situation isn’t as bad in literature, where cli-fi has been going strong since at least 2013.) At least on the surface, this on-screen avoidance of climate change continued in 2024. One of the biggest movies of the summer, Twisters, had an extreme weather angle sitting right there, but its director, Lee Isaac Chung, went out of his way to ensure the film didn’t have a climate change “message.”

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Republicans Will Regret Killing Permitting Reform

They might not be worried now, but Democrats made the same mistake earlier this year.

Permitting reform's tombstone.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

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It died earlier this week, although you could be forgiven for missing it. On Tuesday, bipartisan talks among lawmakers fell apart over a bid to rewrite parts of the National Environmental Policy Act. The changes — pushed for by Representative Bruce Westerman, chairman of the House Natural Resources Committee — would have made it harder for outside groups to sue to block energy projects under NEPA, a 1970 law that governs the country’s process for environmental decisionmaking.

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