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Politics

Welcome to Inauguration Day

On changeover in Washington, Biden’s final moves, and a mass migration

Welcome to Inauguration Day
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Dangerous Santa Ana winds return to fire-ravaged Southern California • It is cold and cloudy in Davos, Switzerland, for the start of the World Economic Forum • A blanket of cold air will cover most of the U.S. this week, bringing temperatures between 15 and 25 degrees Fahrenheit below historical averages.

THE TOP FIVE

1. Trump preparing ‘close to 100’ Day 1 executive orders

President-elect Donald Trump is expected to sign “close to 100” executive orders in the hours after taking office today, including actions aimed at reshaping energy policy. Trump’s top domestic policy adviser, Stephen Miller, briefed Congress on the plans, which include stopping climate-related spending, rolling back limits on oil and gas drilling, slashing tailpipe emissions rules, and declaring a “national energy emergency” to expand energy production. Most of these initiatives will not take effect immediately and will likely face lengthy legal challenges. But one move – removing the U.S. from the Paris Agreement for a second time – would be swift. The swearing in ceremony will begin today at 12 pm EST. It had to be moved inside due to cold weather.

2. Biden protects most IRA clean energy grants from incoming administration

The Biden administration has finalized some $96.7 billion in clean energy grants, meaning they are protected and cannot be revoked by the incoming Trump administration, according to the White House. That amount represents about 84% of the grants issued from the Inflation Reduction Act. The administration has distributed more than $27 billion in clean-energy financing in recent weeks, rushing to close big loans before Trump takes over. On Friday, the Department of Energy announced it had finalized a $15 billion loan to Pacific Gas & Electric Company (PG&E) to “support a portfolio of projects to expand hydropower generation and battery storage, upgrade transmission capacity through reconductoring and grid enhancing technologies, and enable virtual power plants throughout PG&E’s service area.” Earlier in the week it closed on a $6.57 billion loan to EV maker Rivian. “The pace of announcements is unprecedented,” Kennedy Nickerson, a former policy adviser in the Loan Programs Office, toldBloomberg.

3. Heatmap survey reveals climate and decarbonization insiders’ views on the future

An exclusive Heatmap survey reveals what most climate and decarbonization insiders think the future has in store – both in the near term and looking further ahead. Some key findings:

  • They don’t think Trump will repeal most of the climate provisions in the IRA. 68% of respondents said no, 17% said yes, 15% weren’t sure.
  • They’re bullish about geothermal, hot rocks, and batteries. Fervo, Form Energy, Rondo, and Antora were all mentioned.
  • They view high-quality heat pumps as being pretty far from mass adoption. Heat pumps were tied with any way to make chemicals, liquid fuels, or plastics in a low-carbon way.
  • On average, they see global temperatures rising by 2.8 degrees Celsius by 2100. One venture capitalist predicted that “we will be able to control global temperatures before we achieve net zero, so by 2100 if civilization is still healthy we will have settled at some optimal temperature.”

Read the full list of predictions here.

4. AccuWeather foresees large migration from California

Weather forecasting service AccuWeather thinks this month’s devastating wildfires in Los Angeles will trigger a mass migration out of California. The fires capped off what AccuWeather said has been the most “costly and impactful” year in terms of extreme weather events since the Dust Bowl nearly a century ago. “The Dust Bowl led to a massive migration west to California,” said AccuWeather founder and executive chairman Dr. Joel N. Myers. “Ninety years later, we expect these wildfires, the rising costs of rebuilding and recovery, the challenge of securing and affording insurance, as well as drought and water supply concerns will likely lead to a significant migration out of California over the next few years.” Nine U.S. weather disasters over the last 12 months have caused between $693 billion and $800 billion in damage and economic losses, with the preliminary cost of the LA fires estimated at $275 billion.

5. EV startup Canoo files for bankruptcy

In case you missed it: Electric van startup Canoo filed for bankruptcy and ceased operations on Friday. The company had some high-profile partners for its EV commercial fleets concept, including NASA, the USPS, the Department of Defense, and Walmart, but ultimately ran out of money. “The writing was on the wall for the EV startup leading up to the announcement,” said Cheyenne Macdonald at Engadget. Recently Canoo furloughed its workers, paused manufacturing, and saw many executives walk away.

THE KICKER

All national parks are free to enter today in honor of Martin Luther King, Jr. Day.

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Energy

AM Briefing: Power Hungry

On the IEAs latest report, flooding in LA, and Bill Gates’ bad news

Global Electricity Use Is Expected to Soar
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Severe thunderstorms tomorrow could spawn tornadoes in Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Alabama • A massive wildfire on a biodiverse island in the Indian Ocean has been burning for nearly a month, threatening wildlife • Tropical Cyclone Zelia has made landfall in Western Australia with winds up to 180mph.

THE TOP FIVE

1. Breakthrough Energy to slash climate grantmaking budget

Bill Gates’ climate tech advocacy organization has told its partners that it will slash its grantmaking budget this year, dealing a blow to climate-focused policy and advocacy groups that relied on the Microsoft founder, Heatmap’s Katie Brigham has learned. Breakthrough Energy, the umbrella organization for Gates’ various climate-focused programs, alerted many nonprofit grantees earlier this month that it would not be renewing its support for them. This pullback will not affect Breakthrough’s $3.5 billion climate-focused venture capital arm, Breakthrough Energy Ventures, which funds an extensive portfolio of climate tech companies. Breakthrough’s fellowship program, which provides early-stage climate tech leaders with funding and assistance, will also remain intact, a spokesperson confirmed. They would not comment on whether this change will lead to layoffs at Breakthrough Energy.

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Climate Tech

Breakthrough Energy Is Slashing Its Climate Grantmaking Budget

Grantees told Heatmap they were informed that Bill Gates’ climate funding organization would not renew its support.

Bill Gates.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Bill Gates’ climate tech advocacy organization has told its partners that it will slash its grantmaking budget this year, dealing a blow to climate-focused policy and advocacy groups that relied on the Microsoft founder, Heatmap has learned.

Breakthrough Energy, the umbrella organization for Gates’ various climate-focused programs, alerted many nonprofit grantees earlier this month that it would not be renewing its support for them. This pullback will not affect Breakthrough’s $3.5 billion climate-focused venture capital arm, Breakthrough Energy Ventures, which funds an extensive portfolio of climate tech companies. Breakthrough’s fellowship program, which provides early-stage climate tech leaders with funding and assistance, will also remain intact, a spokesperson confirmed. They would not comment on whether this change will lead to layoffs at Breakthrough Energy.

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Spotlight

Anti-Wind Activists Have a Big Ask for the Big Man

The Trump administration is now being lobbied to nix offshore wind projects already under construction.

Trump and offshore wind.
Getty Images / Heatmap Illustration

Anti-wind activists have joined with well-connected figures in conservative legal and energy circles to privately lobby the Trump administration to undo permitting decisions by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, according to documents obtained by Heatmap.

Representatives of conservative think tanks and legal nonprofits — including the Caesar Rodney Institute, the Heartland Institute and Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow, or CFACT — sent a letter to Interior Secretary Doug Burgum dated February 11 requesting that the Trump administration “immediately revoke” letters from NOAA to 11 offshore wind projects authorizing “incidental takes,” a term of regulatory art referencing accidental and permissible harassment, injury, or potential deaths under federal endangered species and mammal protection laws. The letter lays out a number of perceived issues with how those approvals have historically been issued for offshore wind companies and claims the government has improperly analyzed the cumulative effects of adding offshore wind to the ocean’s existing industrialization. NOAA oversees marine species protection.

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