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Politics

Welcome to Inauguration Day

On changeover in Washington, Biden’s final moves, and a mass migration

Welcome to Inauguration Day
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Dangerous Santa Ana winds return to fire-ravaged Southern California • It is cold and cloudy in Davos, Switzerland, for the start of the World Economic Forum • A blanket of cold air will cover most of the U.S. this week, bringing temperatures between 15 and 25 degrees Fahrenheit below historical averages.

THE TOP FIVE

1. Trump preparing ‘close to 100’ Day 1 executive orders

President-elect Donald Trump is expected to sign “close to 100” executive orders in the hours after taking office today, including actions aimed at reshaping energy policy. Trump’s top domestic policy adviser, Stephen Miller, briefed Congress on the plans, which include stopping climate-related spending, rolling back limits on oil and gas drilling, slashing tailpipe emissions rules, and declaring a “national energy emergency” to expand energy production. Most of these initiatives will not take effect immediately and will likely face lengthy legal challenges. But one move – removing the U.S. from the Paris Agreement for a second time – would be swift. The swearing in ceremony will begin today at 12 pm EST. It had to be moved inside due to cold weather.

2. Biden protects most IRA clean energy grants from incoming administration

The Biden administration has finalized some $96.7 billion in clean energy grants, meaning they are protected and cannot be revoked by the incoming Trump administration, according to the White House. That amount represents about 84% of the grants issued from the Inflation Reduction Act. The administration has distributed more than $27 billion in clean-energy financing in recent weeks, rushing to close big loans before Trump takes over. On Friday, the Department of Energy announced it had finalized a $15 billion loan to Pacific Gas & Electric Company (PG&E) to “support a portfolio of projects to expand hydropower generation and battery storage, upgrade transmission capacity through reconductoring and grid enhancing technologies, and enable virtual power plants throughout PG&E’s service area.” Earlier in the week it closed on a $6.57 billion loan to EV maker Rivian. “The pace of announcements is unprecedented,” Kennedy Nickerson, a former policy adviser in the Loan Programs Office, told Bloomberg.

3. Heatmap survey reveals climate and decarbonization insiders’ views on the future

An exclusive Heatmap survey reveals what most climate and decarbonization insiders think the future has in store – both in the near term and looking further ahead. Some key findings:

  • They don’t think Trump will repeal most of the climate provisions in the IRA. 68% of respondents said no, 17% said yes, 15% weren’t sure.
  • They’re bullish about geothermal, hot rocks, and batteries. Fervo, Form Energy, Rondo, and Antora were all mentioned.
  • They view high-quality heat pumps as being pretty far from mass adoption. Heat pumps were tied with any way to make chemicals, liquid fuels, or plastics in a low-carbon way.
  • On average, they see global temperatures rising by 2.8 degrees Celsius by 2100. One venture capitalist predicted that “we will be able to control global temperatures before we achieve net zero, so by 2100 if civilization is still healthy we will have settled at some optimal temperature.”

Read the full list of predictions here.

4. AccuWeather foresees large migration from California

Weather forecasting service AccuWeather thinks this month’s devastating wildfires in Los Angeles will trigger a mass migration out of California. The fires capped off what AccuWeather said has been the most “costly and impactful” year in terms of extreme weather events since the Dust Bowl nearly a century ago. “The Dust Bowl led to a massive migration west to California,” said AccuWeather founder and executive chairman Dr. Joel N. Myers. “Ninety years later, we expect these wildfires, the rising costs of rebuilding and recovery, the challenge of securing and affording insurance, as well as drought and water supply concerns will likely lead to a significant migration out of California over the next few years.” Nine U.S. weather disasters over the last 12 months have caused between $693 billion and $800 billion in damage and economic losses, with the preliminary cost of the LA fires estimated at $275 billion.

5. EV startup Canoo files for bankruptcy

In case you missed it: Electric van startup Canoo filed for bankruptcy and ceased operations on Friday. The company had some high-profile partners for its EV commercial fleets concept, including NASA, the USPS, the Department of Defense, and Walmart, but ultimately ran out of money. “The writing was on the wall for the EV startup leading up to the announcement,” said Cheyenne Macdonald at Engadget. Recently Canoo furloughed its workers, paused manufacturing, and saw many executives walk away.

THE KICKER

All national parks are free to enter today in honor of Martin Luther King, Jr. Day.

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Daily Briefing

The Data Center Backlash Is Impossible to Miss

Just look at Heatmap’s latest poll results.

A data center protester.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

A few times a year, Heatmap News surveys a few thousand Americans on the biggest questions driving the world of energy, environment, and climate change. We’ve spent the past few days writing up the results of our latest poll, which was in the field in late May and which I thought was particularly striking.

It’s worth taking a step back to look at the biggest results together, because the American view of data centers is essentially in free fall:

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Funding Friday: Helion Just Tripled Its Valuation

Plus more of the week’s big money moves in critical minerals and electric vehicle charging.

Fusion.
Heatmap Illustration/Helion, Getty Images

Two of climate tech’s hottest sectors — fusion and critical minerals — dominated this week’s funding headlines. Helion led the pack with its $465 million Series G, helping to push the startup with the sector’s most aggressive commercialization timeline one step closer to putting power on the grid. The round follows last week’s news that German fusion startup Focused Energy secured a $240 million Series A, making it Europe’s most valuable fusion company.

Then there’s the critical minerals. Shortly after venture firm Gigascale Capital announced the close of its $250 million fund targeting the physical clean energy economy, it announced one of its first investments: Red Metals, a startup working to bring copper refining back to the U.S. Terra AI, which is using artificial intelligence to identify promising sites for mineral extraction, also landed fresh funding. Rounding out the week’s deals, EV charging and energy services company InCharge also raised a new round as it looks to expand into a broader suite of energy services.

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How Has the Rise of AI Changed the Odds of a Permitting Deal?

Catching up with the American Council on Renewable Energy’s Ray Long.

Ray Long.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Today’s chat is with Ray Long, CEO of the American Council on Renewable Energy. We first discussed the odds of permitting reform a year and a half ago, for one of the first Q&As in The Fight. Flash forward and we’re still in the same situation, but now also wrestling with added demand for electricity to power data centers. I wanted to talk again about whether he thought the rise of artificial intelligence would increase the odds of some federal deal happening any time soon. The result: a wide-reaching conversation about the future of the electric grid, the struggles to win community buy-in and the sclerotic nature of the U.S. Congress.

The following conversation was lightly edited for clarity.

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