Sign In or Create an Account.

By continuing, you agree to the Terms of Service and acknowledge our Privacy Policy

Climate

What to Expect from COP29

On tough climate talks, Trump’s energy czar, and New York fires

What to Expect from COP29
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Outdoor activities are banned in Pakistan’s Punjab province as air pollution worsens • An atmospheric river is hammering the Pacific Northwest • The Taurid meteor shower will peak today and tomorrow.

THE TOP FIVE

1. COP29 kicks off in Azerbaijan

The UN COP29 climate summit starts today in Baku, Azerbaijan. It’s being called “the toughest climate talks in almost a decade,” as countries work to set a new finance target to help developing nations adapt to climate change. In 2022, industrialized nations pledged to provide $100 billion annually for climate finance, and the new goal could run into the trillions of dollars. Clashes are expected over how much money should be paid and by whom, plus the mechanisms for managing and structuring the funding. Donald Trump’s election win looms large at the event, with the world’s largest economy and the second largest greenhouse gas emitter expected to slow climate action under the next administration. Still, COP29 President Mukhtar Babayev said the finance target was the meeting’s top priority. Negotiators are also likely to put the finishing touches on Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, which calls for the creation of a global carbon credit market. And there will be a big push to get nations to outline their new Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), or emissions reduction plans, well ahead of the February deadline.

2. Who’s going to COP29 – and who is not

More than 100 heads of state are expected to be in attendance at COP29, but this year’s event has already been defined by the long list of important people who aren’t attending. Absent are President Biden, French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Chinese President Xi Jinping, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. A bunch of banking bigwigs have also bowed out. So who is going?

  • U.S. climate envoy John Podesta, as well as Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.), the chair of the Senate Budget Committee, who last week said he would head to Baku to “reassure the international community that large swaths of the U.S. remain committed to steering the planet away from climate catastrophe.”
  • Chinese climate spokesperson Liu Zhenmin. There will be pressure on China to contribute to the climate finance pool. “China could step up and take a leadership role on climate now that the U.S. looks likely to relinquish its crown,” Bloomberg reported. “Conversely, it could use Trump’s victory as an excuse for it to take less action to curb fossil fuels.”
  • UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband. They will unveil the UK’s NDC and try to steady the ship as U.S. climate commitments wobble.
  • Mia Mottley, prime minister of Barbados, who will be “a linchpin for developing countries seeking climate justice in the face of inaction by the worst greenhouse gas emitters,” according to The Guardian.
  • Brazil’s environmental minister, Marina Silva. Brazil is host to next year’s COP30. The nation recently upped its climate pledge.
  • For the first time ever, the Taliban will be in attendance, as climate change wreaks havoc on Afghanistan.
  • EU Climate Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra; World Bank President Ajay Banga; Simon Stiell, executive secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change; UN chief António Guterres.

3. Trump eyes Burgum for ‘energy czar’

President-elect Donald Trump is considering North Dakota’s Republican governor Doug Burgum for a position as “energy czar,” the Financial Times reported. The role would replace that of National Climate Advisor – created by President Biden and currently occupied by Ali Zaidi – and “coordinate Trump’s deregulatory agenda across a patchwork of agencies including the Department of Energy, Department of Interior, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, and Environmental Protection Agency.” North Dakota is a major oil producer, and Burgum is an “oil industry favorite” for the role, the FT said.

4. Fires plague tri-state area amid drought

An 18-year-old New York State parks employee died over the weekend while fighting a fire in Orange County, New York. Dariel Vasquez died when a tree fell and struck him as he was working to clear a wooded area, according to The New York Times. The blaze, which is also burning in Passaic County, New Jersey, has charred at least 3,000 acres and is 10% contained. It’s one of several recent fires in the drought-stricken region. A brush fire ignited in Prospect Park Friday and burned 2 acres. Air quality warnings were in place over the weekend for the tri-state area. Some rain fell on Sunday but didn’t do much to relieve the dry conditions.

5. Climate-related weather losses surpass $2 trillion over 10 years

A recent report from the International Chamber of Commerce found that extreme weather related to climate change has cost the global economy more than $2 trillion over the last 10 years. The biggest losses, totaling about $935 billion, were felt in the U.S. And the costs have been growing faster in more recent years. For example, in 2022 and 2023 alone, the economic damages reached $451 billion, up nearly 20% compared to the annual average of the 8 years that came before. And the number of climate-related extreme weather events between 2000 and 2019 was 83% higher than in the years between 1980 and 2000. “Our findings indicate that without enhanced climate action and mitigation efforts, the economic burden of climate-related extreme weather events will persist and likely grow,” the report said. The ICC is a business organization “championing the global economy as a force for economic growth, job creation and prosperity.”

THE KICKER

“Trump winning again, this time even the popular vote, has thrown radical uncertainty into America’s international standing — particularly when it comes to climate change and the green economy. It’s a golden opportunity for China, if it cares to seize it.”Ryan Cooper writing for Heatmap

Yellow

You’re out of free articles.

Subscribe today to experience Heatmap’s expert analysis 
of climate change, clean energy, and sustainability.
To continue reading
Create a free account or sign in to unlock more free articles.
or
Please enter an email address
By continuing, you agree to the Terms of Service and acknowledge our Privacy Policy
Ideas

The Last Time America Tried to Legislate Its Way to Energy Affordability

Lawmakers today should study the Energy Security Act of 1980.

Jimmy Carter.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images, Library of Congress

The past few years have seen wild, rapid swings in energy policy in the United States, from President Biden’s enthusiastic embrace of clean energy to President Trump’s equally enthusiastic re-embrace of fossil fuels.

Where energy industrial policy goes next is less certain than any other moment in recent memory. Regardless of the direction, however, we will need creative and effective policy tools to secure our energy future — especially for those of us who wish to see a cleaner, greener energy system. To meet the moment, we can draw inspiration from a largely forgotten piece of energy industrial policy history: the Energy Security Act of 1980.

Keep reading...Show less
Blue
AM Briefing

The Grinch of Offshore Wind

On Google’s energy glow up, transmission progress, and South American oil

Donald Trump.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Nearly two dozen states from the Rockies through the Midwest and Appalachians are forecast to experience temperatures up to 30 degrees above historical averages on Christmas Day • Parts of northern New York and New England could get up to a foot of snow in the coming days • Bethlehem, the West Bank city south of Jerusalem in which Christians believe Jesus was born, is preparing for a sunny, cloudless Christmas Day, with temperatures around 60 degrees Fahrenheit.

This is our last Heatmap AM of 2025, but we’ll see you all again in 2026!

THE TOP FIVE

1. Trump halts construction on all offshore wind projects

Just two weeks after a federal court overturned President Donald Trump’s Day One executive order banning new offshore wind permits, the administration announced a halt to all construction on seaward turbines. Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum announced the move Monday morning on X: “Due to national security concerns identified by @DeptofWar, @Interior is PAUSING leases for 5 expensive, unreliable, heavily subsidized offshore wind farms!” As Heatmap’s Jael Holzman explained in her writeup, there are only five offshore wind projects currently under construction in U.S. waters: Vineyard Wind, Revolution Wind, Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind, Sunrise Wind, and Empire Wind. “The Department of War has come back conclusively that the issues related to these large offshore wind programs create radar interference, create genuine risk for the U.S., particularly related to where they are in proximity to our East Coast population centers,” Burgum told Fox Business host Maria Bartiromo.

Keep reading...Show less
Green
Energy

Google Is Cornering the Market on Energy Wonks

The hyperscaler is going big on human intelligence to help power its artificial intelligence.

The Google logo holding electricity.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Google is on an AI hiring spree — and not just for people who can design chips and build large language models. The tech giant wants people who can design energy systems, too.

Google has invested heavily of late in personnel for its electricity and infrastructure-related teams. Among its key hires is Tyler Norris, a former Duke University researcher and one of the most prominent proponents of electricity demand flexibility for data centers, who started in November as “head of market innovation” on the advanced energy team. The company also hired Doug Lewin, an energy consultant and one of the most respected voices in Texas energy policy, to lead “energy strategy and market design work in Texas,” according to a note he wrote on LinkedIn. Nathan Iyer, who worked on energy policy issues at RMI, has been a contractor for Google Clean Energy for about a year. (The company also announced Monday that it’s shelling out $4.5 billion to acquire clean energy developer Intersect.)

Keep reading...Show less
Yellow