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Q&A

Data Centers, Meet Stranded Solar

Chatting with Next10’s Noel Perry and Stephanie Leonard about a novel renewable energy play.

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The Q&A subjects.
Heatmap Illustration

This week’s Q&A is a two-fer, featuring Noel Perry and Stephanie Leonard from the California environmental nonprofit Next10. They released a report this week in partnership with researchers at the University of Pennsylvania pitching an idea I find fascinating: Data center developers could save money and time if they just built their projects close to existing renewable energy projects that are curtailed from putting power onto the grid because of bottlenecks and capacity issues. I reached out to Next10 to chat about the proposal and how it could inform discussion not just in California, but also in other states.

The following conversation has been lightly edited for clarity.

In terms of best practices, help us understand what you’re getting at with the report.

Stephanie Leonard: Another project we do is the California Green Energy Index, and we track the state’s emissions, renewable energy deployment, and other things. One of the things we track is curtailment, which continues to rise every single year.

Curtailment is an ongoing problem for California. It’s great we’re adding so much solar to the grid, but we’re ending up with these stranded assets. A lot of the solar farms are in the southern part of the state — there’s the Path 15 corridor, which connects the southern California grid to the northern part of the state and is at overcapacity. So we wanted to look at ways to take advantage of this without expensive transmission buildout. Is there a way we can move the energy use to where the curtailment is happening, rather than build wires to energy use?

Noel Perry: Go back to November 2024, we sponsored a conference at Santa Clara University here in the Bay Area focused on the environmental impacts of data centers. Back then it actually felt early. I mean, the proliferation of data centers has taken over the world. Two years ago, this wasn’t as much of a thing. And there were three researchers there, one of whom – Ben Lee from the University of Pennsylvania – wound up making this report we’re publishing now. He came up with this idea of how excess energy capacity could be used for data centers, which sounded interesting.

How is transmission a bottleneck here, specifically?

Leonard: We do know by 2039 that Path 15 is expected to be congested for 84% of the year. That’s even with planned upgrades from [California’s grid operator]. It’s going to continue to get more and more congested, [and] we’re going to continue to have more of these stranded assets. It’s more of this cheap solar that can’t get to the population centers.

We can site data centers in congested areas — that would be a good outcome. And a lot of these projects are set to be powered by fossil fuels; I’ve seen reports that about 75% of all planned natural gas build-out across the U.S. is for data centers, specifically. Not only would this be taking advantage of offloading curtailed energy, but this would ensure new data centers are using renewable energy. The report also recommends battery storage so they can store the renewable energy, too.

Is this different from the “bring-your-own-energy” approach to data centers and energy?

Leonard: I would consider this more of a bridge solution. The report doesn’t evaluate the bring-your-own-energy model, but this is the kind of thing that can be done more quickly. The resources are already there. The infrastructure is already there.

When it comes to turning these recommendations into policy, what’s the mood in California like? Do they want to take up solutions like these?

Perry: There’s definitely interest. We would hope that this idea of putting data centers near energy that is curtailed, near where congestion is, that we hope would be looked at not only in California but other states. This idea could be a model in some fashion.

As you know, we have a lot of renewable energy – more than maybe a lot of states. So in a way, California is a better place for data centers than other places if you want them to be powered by renewable energy. That doesn’t mean all Californians want data centers to come here, but that’s an important point to make.

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Plus

The Promise and Peril of the Blue Wave for Renewables

Talking with Arnab Pal, the executive director of Deploy Action.

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The Q&A subject.
Heatmap Illustration

This week’s conversation is with Arnab Pal, executive director of Deploy Action, president of Clean Infrastructure Advisors, and former principal advisor at the Energy Department’s Loan Programs Office under the Biden administration alongside Jigar Shah.

I reached out to Pal for guidance on where he saw state-level policy going around renewables development after the 2026 blue wave election. Simply put, few could’ve provided better guidance. We have no idea what could happen next after an unprecedented election result, but he couldn’t have been more clear-eyed and, as he put it to me, focused on the future. I appreciated our conversation and decided it was worthwhile to provide it to you in full.

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Spotlight

Was This Really the Data Center Election?

Evidence suggests data center concerns probably didn’t actually flip many votes.

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Voting signs and a data center.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images, Library of Congress

This week’s midterm elections were undeniably horrible for the data center industry. But a closer look indicates dominant media narratives about the impact of AI infrastructure on voting behavior also deserve more scrutiny.

On election night, candidates who railed against data center sprawl during their campaigns won across the country, including statewide races in red areas. The most striking example was Gina Hinojosa, now governor-elect for the data center-centric state of Texas, who ran on instituting a complete pause on projects across the Lone Star State. So striking was her win, it sent AI and data center stocks into freefall. Cleanview, a clean energy news and data site, said Hinojosa’s pause, if put into effect, could affect up to 88.4 gigawatts of “planned” data center development, depending on how it's implemented.

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Hotspots

The Place Where a Candidate Promising to Do Less on Data Centers Actually Won

And more of the week’s top fights around development.

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The United States.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

1. McCracken County, Kentucky – A rare bright spot for the data center sector quietly occurred in deep red Kentucky in a race defined by what’ll likely be the first project built on federal land.

  • As I previously reported, a large data center project became the primary point of conflict in the race for McCracken County’s judge-executive. The incumbent Republican Craig Clymer had welcomed the project, and faced a challenge from independent George Bray, mayor of the county’s largest city of Paducah. Bray also supported the data center but said his city, which is adjacent to the project, should’ve received more demarcated benefits. Bray called for a community benefit agreement.
  • Turns out voters in McCracken County didn’t care enough about this issue to make a change and wanted to keep Clymer in office. He won handily, netting more than 12,000 votes to Bray’s roughly 7,600. It’s one of the few races across the country that went in favor of the candidate promising to do less when it came to data centers.

2. Pulaski County, Arkansas – After a blue wave election in Little Rock, this county government is on a collision course with data center development.

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