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Spotlight

Trump’s Onshore Wind Pause Is Still On

Six months in, federal agencies are still refusing to grant crucial permits to wind developers.

Donald Trump and a wind turbine.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Federal agencies are still refusing to process permit applications for onshore wind energy facilities nearly six months into the Trump administration, putting billions in energy infrastructure investments at risk.

On Trump’s first day in office, he issued two executive orders threatening the wind energy industry – one halting solar and wind approvals for 60 days and another commanding agencies to “not issue new or renewed approvals, rights of way, permits, leases or loans” for all wind projects until the completion of a new governmental review of the entire industry. As we were first to report, the solar pause was lifted in March and multiple solar projects have since been approved by the Bureau of Land Management. In addition, I learned in March that at least some transmission for wind farms sited on private lands may have a shot at getting federal permits, so it was unclear if some arms of the government might let wind projects proceed.

However, I have learned that the wind industry’s worst fears are indeed coming to pass. The Fish and Wildlife Service, which is responsible for approving any activity impacting endangered birds, and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, tasked with greenlighting construction in federal wetlands, have simply stopped processing wind project permit applications after Trump’s orders – and the freeze appears immovable, unless something changes.

According to filings submitted to federal court Monday under penalty of perjury by Alliance for Clean Energy New York, at least three wind projects in the Empire State – Terra-Gen’s Prattsburgh Wind, Invenergy’s Canisteo Wind, and Apex’s Heritage Wind – have been unable to get the Army Corps or Fish and Wildlife Service to continue processing their permitting applications. In the filings, ACE NY states that land-based wind projects “cannot simply be put on a shelf for a few years until such time as the federal government may choose to resume permit review and issuance,” because “land leases expire, local permits and agreements expire, and as a result, the project must be terminated.”

While ACE NY’s filings discuss only these projects in New York, they describe the impacts as indicative of the national industry’s experience, and ACE NY’s executive director Marguerite Wells told me it is her understanding “that this is happening nationwide.”

“I can confirm that developers have conveyed to me that [the] Army Corps has stopped processing their applications specifically citing the wind ban,” Wells wrote in an email. “As I have understood it, the initial freeze covered both wind and solar projects, but the freeze was lifted for solar projects and not for wind projects.”

Lots of attention has been paid to Trump’s attacks on offshore wind, because those projects are sited entirely in federal waters. But while wind projects sited on private lands can hypothetically escape a federal review and keep sailing on through to operation, wind turbines are just so large in size that it’s hard to imagine that bird protection laws can’t apply to most of them. And that doesn’t account for wetlands, which seem to be now bedeviling multiple wind developers.

This means there’s an enormous economic risk in a six-month permitting pause, beyond impacts to future energy generation. The ACE NY filings state the impacts to New York alone represent more than $2 billion in capital investments, just in the land-based wind project pipeline, and there’s significant reason to believe other states are also experiencing similar risks. In a legal filing submitted by Democratic states challenging the executive order targeting wind, attorneys general listed at least three wind projects in Arizona – RWE’s Forged Ethic, AES’s West Camp, and Repsol’s Lava Run – as examples that may require approval from the federal government under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act. As I’ve previously written, this is the same law that bird conservation advocates in Wyoming want Trump to use to reject wind proposals in their state, too.

The Fish and Wildlife Service and Army Corps of Engineers declined to comment after this story’s publication due to litigation on the matter. I also reached out to the developers involved in these projects to inquire about their commitments to these projects in light of the permitting pause. We’ll let you know if we hear back from them.

Yellow

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Q&A

How Has the Rise of AI Changed the Odds of a Permitting Deal?

Catching up with the American Council on Renewable Energy’s Ray Long.

Ray Long.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Today’s chat is with Ray Long, CEO of the American Council on Renewable Energy. We first discussed the odds of permitting reform a year and a half ago, for one of the first Q&As in The Fight. Flash forward and we’re still in the same situation, but now also wrestling with added demand for electricity to power data centers. I wanted to talk again about whether he thought the rise of artificial intelligence would increase the odds of some federal deal happening any time soon. The result: a wide-reaching conversation about the future of the electric grid, the struggles to win community buy-in and the sclerotic nature of the U.S. Congress.

The following conversation was lightly edited for clarity.

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Hotspots

Ohio Is Waging a Multi-Front Assault Against Data Centers

Plus more of week’s biggest development fights.

The United States.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

1. Ohio — This state might just be the most important flashpoint in the national fight over advanced energy and tech infrastructure.

  • Ohio is now home to one of the fiercest retaliatory strikes against the data center sector from a statewide elected Republican. Last week, Governor Mike DeWine said he was pausing access to the state’s tax exemption request program for all data centers (sans two projects that squeaked in under the wire).
  • In the state legislature, a new select committee on data center development got an earful from aggrieved anti-data center voices this week at their only hearing for public comment. Legislation and regulation feels all but inevitable. As lawmakers debate potential legislation, grassroots organizers opposed to development are gathering signatures in hope of landing a moratorium vote on the ballot this November.
  • Meanwhile, the state Supreme Court struck down permits for the biggest solar project in the state: Oak Run, a large agri-voltaics project backed by a Shell subsidiary.
  • As I previously wrote, the court challenge against Oak Run was a potential harbinger of the extent local opposition would be considered a proxy for “the public interest,” a legal term of art crucial to state energy and power permitting.
  • In a decision overruling the Ohio Power Siting Board, justices wrote the board’s “rationale” on this public interest question “misses the mark” because it failed to include photos or sketches addressing visual concerns raised by locals. The board will now have to reconsider Oak Run and compel new analysis specific to surrounding sightlines.
  • Conflict over large industrial development in Ohio was eminently predictable. Heatmap’s polling and modeling has consistently shown an Obama-Trump voting flip like the one Ohio landed in 2016 as a predictor for potential opposition to building renewable energy. Same goes for the fight over development on farmland — and Ohio is flush with prospective ag property. Knowing renewables-hostile areas are harder for data centers, this would be a likely no-go zone for developers if it wasn’t for existing fiber-optic cable networks.

2. Laramie County, Wyoming — The Cowboy State’s capital city is one of the few to reject a data center moratorium. But tech companies. don’t get your hopes up too high.

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Spotlight

Most Americans Want a National Data Center Moratorium

Politicians, take note.

Data center protesters.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

The national AI data center moratorium has momentum.

As I’ve been documenting for months here at The Fight, data center opposition is surging across the country. Our latest Heatmap Pro poll, conducted by Embold Research, puts some very hard numbers behind that picture. More than 7 in 10 Americans oppose new data center construction near where they live, up from just over 4 in 10 last fall. Part of what’s driving that opposition: More than half of respondents hold data centers largely responsible for rising electricity prices, and nearly half are pessimistic about the effect artificial intelligence will have on their lives.

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