Sign In or Create an Account.

By continuing, you agree to the Terms of Service and acknowledge our Privacy Policy

Sparks

Why Oil Traders Are Not Freaking Out Today

Iran’s attack didn’t change much for markets.

Oil machinery.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Iran and Israel’s proxy conflict escalated into direct strikes over the weekend and oil prices have hardly budged. So far on Monday, the Brent crude oil benchmark is hovering around $89.50 a barrel, a 1-ish% dip for the day.

This has been the story of the conflict so far: While oil prices rose following Hamas’s October 7 attack on Southern Israel and the beginning of Israel’s invasion of Gaza, they’re now back to where they were for much of September, and are down substantially from their summer 2022 highs.

It remains to be seen how, exactly, Israel will respond to the attack by Iranian drones, but oil markets are still largely relaxed. By the end of last week, explained Eurasia Group analyst Greg Brew, the markets had already “priced in” an Iranian attack, pushing prices above $90.

Brew pointed to both the United States and Iran indicating that “further escalation is being actively discouraged” as one cause for the market’s relative relaxation so far today.

“The market is down a bit, though there is still a lot of anxiety regarding whether Israel’s response to the attack creates more escalatory pressure,” he told me. “So we’re still in a wait-and-see pattern.”

Despite the escalation, oil markets apparently still don’t see the conflict spinning out of control. “Crude essentially unchanged to start the week,” oil analyst Rory Johnston tweeted Sunday. “Iran’s reaction perfectly priced in.”

Yellow

You’re out of free articles.

Subscribe today to experience Heatmap’s expert analysis 
of climate change, clean energy, and sustainability.
To continue reading
Create a free account or sign in to unlock more free articles.
or
Please enter an email address
By continuing, you agree to the Terms of Service and acknowledge our Privacy Policy
Sparks

Scoop: Energy Vault Makes a Play for Japan’s Storage Market

The nearly California-based company is buying a pipeline of projects from an unnamed Japanese developer.

Energy Vault storage.
Heatmap Illustration/Energy Vault

The energy transition isn’t static, and the companies pivoting to match the shifting needs of the moment tend to point the way to where demand is going.

Take Energy Vault. Founded by a group of Swiss engineers in 2017, the company sought to meet the swelling need for long-duration energy storage that can last beyond the four hours or so you get from a grid-scale lithium-ion battery by devising a new gravity-based systems for keeping energy stored for the long term. The problem was, there was no obvious market.

Keep reading...Show less
Sparks

‘Power Plant Day’

On Abu Dhabi aluminum, Brazil’s offshore wind, and Dominica’s geothermal

Donald Trump.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Two major storms, Tropical Cyclone Maila and Tropical Cyclone Vaianu are barreling through the South Pacific • San Juan, Puerto Rico’s capital, is on track for heavy thunderstorms with lightning throughout most of the week • Temperatures in the Philippines’ densest northern cities are set to hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit this week.


THE TOP FIVE

1. Trump sets a Tuesday deadline to start bombing Iran’s power plants

It’s become a sort of dark ritual for the past two weeks, where President Donald Trump threatens to unleash a bombing blitz on Iran’s power stations — escalating the conflict in a way that mirrors Russia’s campaign against Ukraine. Well, it’s that time again. In a Sunday post on his Truth Social network, the president said Tuesday will be what he called “power plant day,” when the United States military will target Iran’s electrical station in addition to its bridges. “There will be nothing like it,” Trump wrote with three exclamation points, before dropping an F-bomb, calling the Iranian regime “crazy bastards,” and offering a “Praise be to Allah.”

Keep reading...Show less
Blue
Sparks

The Latest Eye-Popping Numbers on Data Center Electricity Demand Are In

PJM’s market monitor got spicy in its latest annual report.

The PJM logo and a graph.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

The independent market monitor of PJM Interconnection, America’s largest electricity market spanning some or all of 13 states from the Jersey Shore to Chicago, took advantage of its latest annual report to share eye-popping figures on how data centers raise electricity costs and lambast existing proposals to fix it.

“Data center load growth is the primary reason for recent and expected capacity market conditions, including total forecast load growth, the tight supply and demand balance, and high prices,” the independent market monitor said in the report, released Thursday. Some PJM states like New Jersey and Maryland have seen some of the fastest retail electricity price hikes in the country, in part due to spiraling costs stemming from capacity auctions, in which generators bid to be available when the grid is stressed. Capacity prices have risen from $29 per megawatt-day to the statutory cap of around $330 in just a few years, costing ratepayers some $46.7 billion over the past three auctions. The total from the three prior auctions: $8.3 billion.

Keep reading...Show less