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Climate

It’s NDC Deadline Day. Almost Nobody Is Prepared.

On climate plans, Super Bowl ads, and hydrogen planes

It’s NDC Deadline Day. Almost Nobody Is Prepared.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: People in Sydney, Australia, were told to stay inside after an intense rainstorm caused major flooding • Temperatures today will be between 25 and 40 degrees Fahrenheit below average across the northern Rockies and High Plains • It’s drizzly in Paris, where world leaders are gathering to discuss artificial intelligence policy.

THE TOP FIVE

1. Most countries miss deadline to submit new climate plans

Well, today was supposed to be the deadline for new and improved climate plans to be submitted by countries committed to the Paris Agreement. These plans – known as nationally determined contributions – outline emissions targets through 2030 and explain how countries plan to reach those targets. Everyone has known about the looming deadline for two years, yet Carbon Brief reports that just 10 of the 195 members of the Paris Agreement have submitted their NDCs. “Countries missing the deadline represent 83% of global emissions and nearly 80% of the world’s economy,” according to Carbon Brief. Last week UN climate chief Simon Stiell struck a lenient tone, saying the plans need to be in by September “at the latest,” which would be ahead of COP30 in November. The U.S. submitted its new NDC well ahead of the deadline, but this was before President Trump took office, and has more or less been disregarded.

2. Report urges pension funds to ramp up climate-related proxy voting

Many of the country’s largest pension funds are falling short of their obligations to protect members’ investments by failing to address climate change risks in their proxy voting. That’s according to new analysis from the Sierra Club, which analyzed 32 of the largest and most influential state and local pension systems in the U.S. Collectively, these funds have more than $3.8 trillion in assets under management. Proxy voting is when pensions vote on behalf of shareholders at companies’ annual meetings, weighing in on various corporate policies and initiatives. In the case of climate change, this might be things like nudging a company to disclose greenhouse gas emissions, or better yet, reduce emissions by creating transition plans.

This report looked at funds’ recent proxy voting records and voting guidelines, which pension staff use to guide their voting decisions. The funds were then graded from A (“industry leaders”) to F (“industry laggards”). Just one fund, the Massachusetts Pension Reserves Investment Management (MassPRIM), received an “A” grade; the majority received either “D” or “F” grades. Others didn’t disclose their voting records at all. “To ensure they can meet their obligations to protect retirees’ hard-earned money for decades to come, pensions must strengthen their proxy voting strategies to hold corporate polluters accountable and support climate progress,” said Allie Lindstrom, a senior strategist with the Sierra Club.

3. Climate ad airs during Super Bowl

Football fans in Los Angeles watching last night’s Super Bowl may have seen an ad warning about the growing climate crisis. The regional spot was made by Science Moms, a nonpartisan group of climate scientists who are also mothers. The “By the Time” ad shows a montage of young girls growing into adults, and warns that climate change is rapidly altering the world today’s children will inherit. “Our window to act on climate change is like watching them grow up,” the voiceover says. “We blink, and we miss it.” It also encourages viewers to donate to LA wildfire victims. A Science Moms spokesperson told ADWEEK they expected some 11 million people to see the ad, and that focus group testing showed a 25% increase in support for climate action among viewers. The New York Times included the ad in its lineup of best Super Bowl commercials, saying it was “a little clunky and sanctimonious in its execution but unimpeachable in its sentiments.”

YouTube/ScienceMoms

YouTube/ScienceMoms

4. The gas-powered Chevy Blazer may be on its way out

General Motors will reportedly stop selling the gas-powered Chevy Blazer in North America after this year because the company wants its plant in Ramos Arizpe, Mexico, to produce only electric vehicles. The move, first reported by GM Authority, means “GM will no longer offer an internal combustion two-row midsize crossover in North America.” If you have your heart set on a Blazer, you can always get the electric version.

5. Airbus abandons 2035 plan for hydrogen aircraft

In case you missed it: Airbus has delayed its big plan to unveil a hydrogen-powered aircraft by 2035, citing the challenges of “developing a hydrogen ecosystem — including infrastructure, production, distribution and regulatory frameworks.” The company has been trying to develop a short-range hydrogen plane since 2020, and has touted hydrogen as key to helping curb the aviation industry’s emissions. It didn’t give an updated timeline for the project.

THE KICKER

“If Michael Pollan’s basic dietary guidance is ‘eat food, not too much, mostly plants,’ then the Burgum-Wright energy policy might be, ‘produce energy, as much as you can, mostly fossil fuels.’”

–Heatmap’s Matthew Zeitlin on the new era of Trump’s energy czars

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AM Briefing

Hot Rock Bill Drops

On a coal comeback, permitting reform, and NRDC’s nuclear conversion

John Hickenlooper.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: A megastorm is bombarding more than 200 million Americans from the Midwest to the East Coast, blasting dozens of states with wind speeds as high as 80 miles per hour • Eight states — Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas — are bracing for sub-zero temperatures • It’s rainy and just over 50 degrees Fahrenheit in Dublin, Ireland, for St. Patrick’s Day.


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In an Election Decided by Acreage, Data Centers Are Shifting the Balance of Power

With developers buying up large swathes of land in the Salt River Project service area, its governance is less certain than ever.

Voting into a data center.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Early voting began last week for control of the Salt River Project, the large water and electric utility that serves the Phoenix metropolitan area. Due to a convoluted series of events dating back to 1903, it is the only major election in the United States since before the Civil War that still requires voters to be landowners, with the value of one’s vote tied directly to how much land one owns. If you’re on a sixth of an acre, as many people in the Valley are, you get one-sixth of a vote. If you’re a renter, you get zero. Large landowners may get hundreds.

Because only an estimated 1% of eligible voters actually cast ballots in the SRP races — until recently, to learn if you even could vote, you had to call the corporate secretary on the phone — the utility has been a target for clean-energy and environmental groups, who see the election as a high-leverage opportunity to flip the traditionally more conservative board, council, and presidency, and press for more investment in renewables. Despite being located in one of the country’s sunniest regions, only around 8% of the SRP’s portfolio is solar. In recent years, groups like Lead Locally, the Sierra Club, and Jane Fonda Climate PAC have helped put six renewable energy advocates on the 14-member board.

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AM Briefing

‘No Guarantees in War’

On Revolution Wind, mineral refining, and German antinuclearism

Chris Wright and Donald Trump.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: A megastorm is pummeling the Midwest with a blizzard and the Northeast with torrential rain that, in some places, will occur in intense bursts of more than an inch per hour • Triple-digit temperatures as high as 110 degrees Fahrenheit are coming for the Southwest in the next few days, weeks ahead of the historical norms • Days after a magnitude 6.3 earthquake hit Chile, a magnitude 5.3 tremor struck off the coast of El Salvador and Honduras.


THE TOP FIVE

1. Chris Wright: ‘There’s no guarantee’ gas prices will come down

Get ready to feel the pinch. With Iran promising to drive up the global cost of oil past $200 per barrel, U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright issued a stark warning. During an appearance on ABC News’ This Week, the Trump administration’s energy chief urged Americans to prepare for belt-tightening. Gas prices have already risen $0.76 per gallon on average since the start of the war — and more than $0.51 just in the past week. GasBuddy said prices surged “at one of the fastest rates” in years. Prices may come down in the next few weeks, Wright added, but “there’s no guarantees in wars at all,” he said. “This is short-term pain to get through to a much better place.”

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