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The cost impacts can be felt for years.

In an era of extreme weather, infrastructure repair and hardening charges are piling up for utilities — and for ratepayers. Utilities in at least 18 U.S. states are now passing on disaster-related charges in electricity bills, according to data from Heatmap and MIT’s new Electricity Price Hub. And as extreme weather continues apace with climate change, those costs will only get higher.
Though California and Florida remain the expected outliers, the disaster recovery pattern is decidedly national, spanning the Pacific Northwest, Midwest, Southeast, and Appalachia, with 36 utilities having introduced at least one specific disaster-related charge since 2020. Often, such charges are tacked on years after the disaster they’re intended to address, and they sometimes begin at such a low cost as to be almost invisible to customers before ratcheting up.
Compared with generation, transmission, and distribution costs, disaster recovery charges are frequently a small line item on bills. For DTE customers in Detroit — where powerful windstorms can knock out power for days — a base securitization charge associated with tree trimming (and the retirement of the River Rouge coal plant) has increased by just over a tenth of a cent per kilowatt-hour since 2022. That’s compared to about three pennies per kilowatt-hour for all the other DTE rate increases over the same period, combined.
Starting last year, customers of Kentucky Power Co. have likewise been paid three securitized surcharge riders, totaling about $0.01 per kilowatt-hour, to help cover $78.8 million in “deferred storm costs” related to major storms that hit the state every year between 2020 and 2023. That’s about $12 added to the average Kentucky Power Co customer’s bill, or an increase of roughly 6%.
Securitization is one method utilities use to deal with debt incurred due to extreme weather. Such plans allow utilities to issue long-term low-interest bonds to cover disaster-related costs upfront, avoiding shorter-term loans and the sticker shock of a large rate jump for ratepayers. In the case of Kentucky Power, securitization allowed the utility to avoid what would have been a 13.1% rate increase, per the Kentucky Public Service Commission.
Because securitization charges are tied to bond payments and are periodically adjusted, our data shows the associated disaster recovery charge for Kentucky Power has dropped slightly since it was introduced in 2025. The downside to securitization, though, is that — as, again, in the case of Kentucky Power — ratepayers will be footing the costs of the 2020-23 storm seasons for a long time: more than two decades. And while the cost per bill might be small now, by the time the 20-year recovery period is up, there will almost certainly have been further damaging storms in the state. Those costs accumulate.
The process of securitization also requires legislative approval from the state and the blessing of the local regulator. For lower and more routine damage, weatherization, and emergency operating costs, utilities can use a faster-acting rider instead.
Riders, however, can ramp up once storm costs are tallied. Oklahoma Gas & Electric’s storm cost recovery rider, for example, started at just $0.000739 per kilowatt-hour in 2020, our first year of data, and has since ballooned by 460%.
While that amounts to only about $4 to $5 a month on the average customer’s $136 electricity bill, in states like California and Florida, cost recovery can be much higher. Tampa Electric customers are in the midst of an 18-month payment plan to cover $464 million in restoration costs from Hurricanes Helene and Milton in 2024, or about a $22 increase in the average customer’s monthly bill. That’s in addition to the utility’s Storm Protection Plan, which began in 2020 and funds grid-hardening measures such as undergrounding power lines, and runs about $8 per month for the average customer — or a combined $360 per year.
FPL Northwest Florida — formerly Gulf Power, serving northwestern Florida — has a $385 million storm protection plan to harden its grid. That cost is reflected in a 2,589% increase in the utility’s “Storm Protection Plan Cost Recovery” charge since 2021, due to the cascading costs of hurricanes. Duke Energy Florida’s storm protection plan charge is up almost 3,000% since it was introduced in 2021, also related to infrastructure hardening.
But hurricanes are also a problem in Louisiana, where smaller rural co-ops don’t have the same access to financing as large investor-owned utilities. Six Louisiana electric cooperatives in our database have added disaster-related riders since 2021: Jefferson Davis Elec Coop, Inc, as a reactive measure to address the costs of the 2020 hurricane season; South Louisiana Electric Coop and Southwest Louisiana EMC with riders in 2022 to help with recovery from Hurricane Ida and others in 2021; and Pointe Coupee Elec Member Corp, Claiborne Electric Coop Inc, and Concordia Electric Coop, Inc, all with emergency reserve fund riders added in 2025.
“Tornadoes, straight-line winds, tropical storms, ice storms, and even the occasional hurricane can cause millions of dollars in damage in a single day,” Claiborne wrote to its customers to justify the increase last year. “As much as we wish we could control the weather and keep storms at bay, we know future harmful storms are inevitable.” (All six co-ops have also seen their total rates increase between 2021 and the latest available data, with Claiborne rising by almost 38%.)
Many West Coast utilities are also bracing for a future full of extreme weather-related disasters. Washington State’s Puget Sound Energy has added a surcharge of about $14 per year to electricity customers to recover the costs from its forward-looking Wildfire Mitigation and Response Plan. PacifiCorp and Portland General Electric Co., both in Oregon, are likewise passing fire-related mitigation costs, such as vegetation management, onto their customers. For California’s PG&E, wildfire-related charges accounted for roughly 18% of system costs in the five years preceding 2023, though those charges are also rolled into distribution costs and aren’t always clearly itemized.
Due in part to regulatory lag, the impacts of major storms such as the 2024 hurricanes that affected Tampa often aren’t felt by ratepayers for years. As the Electricity Price Hub data shows, increases in disaster recovery-related rate charges don’t neatly map to major disaster years, or even necessarily to the years immediately following them. Due in part to legal mechanics, customers in Kansas only started to see the passed-on costs of elevated natural gas prices from the 2021 Winter Storm Uri on their 2023 bills.
It is also not uncommon for costs to start so low they’re almost unnoticeable to customers before growing in scale. Alabama Power’s Natural Disaster Reserve started at a mere $0.000645 per kilowatt-hour in 2020, but has risen 155% to $0.001642 per kilowatt-hour. While that still represents only a handful of dollars per month on the average customer’s $261 monthly bill, it shows that disaster charges that slip onto bills might not stay “invisible” forever.
One major limitation of our data: Utilities don’t always neatly identify riders and surcharges related to storms and extreme weather, and costs might also be rolled into distribution and transmission base rates. After a hurricane, for example, a utility might include grid-hardening costs as capital expenditures, passing them on to customers as increased distribution costs related to infrastructure, rather than flagging them as specific “disaster” charges. This means that disaster surcharges visible in the data, including those cited in this article, should be taken as bare minima.
Temporary riders can also be replaced — as in the case of Entergy Mississippi’s SD-9 rider, which dated back to Hurricane Katrina and addressed “extraordinary incremental storm damage costs,” which appears to zero out in our data. In fact, it was followed up by a 2024 storm damage mitigation and restoration rider aimed at creating a fund to absorb the shocks of “windstorms, ice storms, thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, floods, wildfires, or other such events.” The 2024 rider is nearly three times as high as the one it replaced.
In other words, while we’ve been able to single out 58 specific charges that utilities have identified as either addressing or anticipating extreme weather-related disasters since 2020, that is almost certainly an undercount. While still being illustrative, the data also points to an even bigger takeaway: This is just the tip of the iceberg. The true cost to ratepayers — and the extent of weather-related impacts on electricity bills around the country — will be much larger.
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Current conditions: The southwest monsoon known as “hagabat” has started in the Philippines, dumping up to 4 inches of rain on the archipelago • A strong geomagnetic storm, ranked just two levels below the most powerful type of event of this kind, is underway, threatening radio signals, GPS, and other human instruments that are sensitive to shifts in the Earth’s magnetic fields • San Antonio, where the glorious New York Knicks defeated the Spurs last night, is bracing for rain through the weekend.
To put it in terms a movie lover could understand, President Donald Trump’s Iran War is drinking the U.S. government’s milkshake. Federal stocks of oil have dropped to their lowest level since 2004. Commercial crude stocks fell by 8 million barrels to 433.7 million last week, according to The Wall Street Journal. Unless the Strait of Hormuz reopens soon — which looks less likely now that Iran has called off negotiations with the U.S. and Israel — prices could hit $200 per barrel by summer, said Bob McNally, president of the Rapidan Energy Group consultancy and a former White House adviser. “You start to raise the risk of spillover into other sectors, the economy and financial system … it detonates fragilities in the broader economy and financial system,” he told the Financial Times.
Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond has filed a lawsuit to block construction of the United States’ first new aluminum smelter in half a century over concerns about the project’s ties to the United Arab Emirates and risks it poses to the state’s cattle industry. Century Aluminum had planned to build the smelter with $500 million from the Biden administration. But in January, as I told you at the time, the company overhauled the deal to partner instead with the Abu Dhabi-based Emirates Global Aluminum, which said it became interested in the project after Trump slapped 50% tariffs on the metal. The move comes after Trump endorsed Drummond’s opponent in this year’s Republican primary for Oklahoma governor.
In the 12-page litigation, the state’s top cop alleged that the smelter, planned for a site 30 miles east of Tulsa, would “leach air and water pollutants that would injure the health, comfort, repose, and safety of the people in the region,” Mining.com reported. “A primary aluminum smelter does not belong in a community’s backyard and its emissions do not respect property lines,” Drummond wrote in the lawsuit, which asks the court to block the project. His lawsuit also refers to the UAE, a close ally of the U.S. and by far the most liberal of the Gulf Arab kingdoms, as an “Islamic foreign monarchy.”
The Electric Reliability Council of Texas, the state’s grid operator, approved what E&E News called two “landmark sets of rules of rules” this week that would “shape the future of data centers in the state if finalized.” One package sets up new criteria and processes for bringing big electricity users onto the grid by reviewing them in batches. The other requires data centers and crypto mining operations to remain online during brief grid disruptions in a bid to avoid the cascading outages that downed the electrical system during 2021’s deadly Winter Storm Uri.
The changes come as opposition to data centers reaches critical new heights. Seven in 10 Americans now oppose server facilities built near their homes, according to a new Heatmap Pro released a poll this week that my colleague Robinson Meyer wrote up here. The backlash has grown so severe that former Representative Ben McAdams, a Republican from Utah, is facing serious pushback from his Democratic opponent for the state’s new 1st Congressional District over his small stake in the renewable energy component of a proposed data center in the area, according to the Salt Lake Tribune.
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Taiwan, if you’ll forgive the pun, is in dire straits. The self-governing republic that has functioned as an independent country since the losing side of the Chinese Civil War fled there in 1949, is almost entirely reliant on imported fossil fuels to keep the lights on and semiconductor fabricators churning out the hardware that makes the island so valuable to the global economy. That reliance only grew last year when the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, which has opposed atomic energy since its founding in the 1980s, completed the country’s nuclear phaseout, shutting the last of the island’s three functioning plants. The government in Taipei is now considering starting back up at least one of the old nuclear plants. But, as I told you earlier this year, it’s also looking to geothermal to make up the difference. On Wednesday, the Ministry of Economic Affairs announced the first government-led tender for geothermal, Think Geoenergy reported. The six-month process is meant to develop geothermal zones in Taitung County, on the island’s southeast coast.
The Iran War isn’t just draining America’s crude stockpiles. It’s also spiking gas prices — and spurring a hybrid boom. Sales of hybrid vehicles revved 33% in May compared to the same month last year, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of Motor Intelligence data. “The hybrids have been a godsend,” Mark Politte, the dealer principal at Stanley Subaru in Ellsworth, Maine, told the newspaper. They are “hotter than the non-hybrids.” While new vehicle sales are down 4.4% overall this year through May, hybrid sales are up 17% compared with 2025.
Meanwhile, autonomous electric vehicle company Waymo announced a deal on Thursday to recycle batteries from its nearly 4,000 operating robotaxis into battery storage for electric grids in California and Texas. Waymo’s fleet is made up mostly of Jaguar I-Pace EVs, which have 90-kilowatt-hour batteries. “Put a little haircut on that in terms of degradation and the effective capacity that would be left in those batteries when they’re suitable for repurposing, and we’re still talking about pretty significant capacity per battery,” Freeman Hall, CEO of B2U Storage Solutions, Waymo’s partner in the project, told Ars Technica.

The U.S. may be depleting its oil stockpiles, but it has increased its storage capacity for natural gas in the future. Underground storage capacity in the Lower 48 states increased slightly in 2025, growing mostly in the South Central and Mountain West regions, according to new data from the Energy Information Administration. “Underground natural gas storage provides a source of energy when demand increases, balancing U.S. energy needs,” analyst Jose Villar wrote. “We calculate natural gas storage capacity in two ways: demonstrated peak capacity and working gas design capacity. Both increased in 2025.”
I’m writing from Washington, D.C., today, after having the privilege of watching (and moderating) Heatmap’s second Energy Entrepreneurship Summit this morning. We heard from folks leading in a variety of technologies — geothermal, batteries, fusion, conventional nuclear — but I was struck by a few common themes.
The first was the new wave of excitement about fusion energy and how, in some ways, the artificial intelligence boom has reinvigorated the fusion conversation. Much like fusion, AI was a long-prophesied technology that made steady, iterative improvements over time — and then, one day, delivered a transformative product in the form of ChatGPT. I’m not sure if fusion has yet had a raw technological improvement on par with the transformer, the neural network innovation that preceded today’s AI chatbots and agents, but fusion startups have reported significant improvements in recent years. The industry believes — as do some fusion-pilled policymakers — that they will have commercial reactors on the grid by the mid-2030s.
The second is the degree to which surging electricity demand is pushing forward clean energy across the board. Although many (but not all) hyperscalers prefer to buy clean energy, the raw demand for power is fueling confidence among energy developers and technologists of all stripes. It’s great to make a commodity whose price is rising. At some point, this link between AI and electricity may become turbulent for developers — but we’re not there yet.
The final note is the degree to which U.S.-China competition now dominates conversations around the energy industry and the economy more broadly. I can remember a time when it was somewhat peculiar to point out that some forms of energy prowess strengthened the country’s national security — and that if the U.S. did not work those muscles, then China would. There was little overlap between the clean energy and security conversations. Now, the rise of globally competitive Chinese “electrotech” firms such as BYD, Xiaomi, and CATL has almost united the two discourses.
There is a growing recognition, too, that America will have to reindustrialize to compete. Policymakers sometimes talk about how the U.S. should use its (for now) still strong R&D apparatus to develop “leapfrog” technologies that can surpass Chinese products. But as America has by now repeatedly discovered, simply inventing a new technology is not enough. Creating an export industry — not to mention a business — actually requires commercializing that technology and scaling it. And that will entail the rudiments of an advanced industrial economy: more hardware factories, a larger grid, more manufacturing and process engineers.
These concerns over basic competitiveness colored discussions of even the most advanced technologies. Jackie Siebens, a vice president at the fusion startup Helion, said she was worried that fusion is going to “follow a story we’ve seen before,” where the United States demonstrates fusion first, “but China scales much more broadly.” Representative Don Beyer, a Democrat from Virginia who champions fusion, brought up a more fundamental concern: China is graduating hundreds of nuclear PhD engineers every year, he said, while America is only graduating a few dozen.
If affordability makes up one half of our new energy era, then these questions around competitiveness might be the other half. We’ll explore them, I’m sure, in the future. For now, thanks, as always, for reading.
Our latest Heatmap Pro poll found one big reason why public support for data centers has plummeted.
Americans’ support for data centers cratered over the past nine months. Rising electricity prices are a big part of the reason.
A Heatmap Pro poll conducted in May found that seven in 10 Americans would oppose a data center being built near where they live, up from four in 10 when we asked the same question in August 2025. We also polled people on mounting electricity costs, providing them with about a dozen potential explanations for the surge in prices and asking whether they blame each one “a lot,” “a little,” or “not at all.”
Here, too, the shift in sentiment was definitive. More than half of respondents blamed the construction of new data centers “a lot,” up from just 28% in August, making it the top concern on the list. In the earlier poll, “more demand for electricity overall” — a related issue — received the most blame, while construction of new data centers specifically sat near the bottom of the list.
Whether data centers deserve all this blame is complicated. Electricity prices were already rising before the race to power artificial intelligence began in earnest. According to Heatmap and MIT’s Electricity Price Hub, the national average price rose 21% from November 2020 to November 2022, when ChatGPT was first released to the public. Utilities have been raising rates to cover the cost of maintaining and upgrading the aging power grid, but the drivers are also region-specific. In the West, rates are rising because of wildfire insurance and mitigation efforts such as burying powerlines. (Interestingly, Americans blamed rising costs less on extreme weather, such as wildfires and heat waves, in our latest poll than they did last summer.)
As for what Americans think is driving those costs, our polling results were fairly consistent across regions. Construction of new data centers topped the list everywhere except in the West, where “the oil and gas industry” received one percentage point more blame, while the oil and gas industry came in a close second in the Midwest and Northeast. In the South, the war in Iran ranked second in respondents’ minds. We did, however, see a divide between urban and rural respondents, with slightly more urban residents who considered “the Trump administration and Republicans,” “the oil and gas industry,” and “the war in Iran” to be the major drivers of power prices than data centers.
Though data centers are not the only culprit, they have contributed to higher prices in a few areas, most notably in the PJM electricity market. Market experts warn that this trend will become widespread as the buildout progresses unless lawmakers and regulators make changes to protect residential customers.
“The projected growth in data center demand is beyond anything (short of wartime industries) ever asked of the American power sector,” Travis Kavulla, the head of policy at Base Power Company, wrote in a recent essay for American Affairs. That requires a new market structure, he argued at a Heatmap News event on Wednesday. Rather than the first-come-first served interconnection queue, he advocated for an “open season” model. “It’s a process whereby the incremental cost of building out the grid is mechanically assigned to the incremental load growth,” he explained, “whereas otherwise it might be socialized broadly across consumers — and in a time of increasing inflationary prices, that would lead to a lot of cross-subsidization. It’s both a speed to power thing and a customer affordability thing.”
As my colleague Jael Holzman has reported, state leaders have generally been more inclined to explore regulatory fixes to the problem of rising electricity prices than to enact moratoria on new data center construction, the preferred path for many grassroots activists who oppose data centers. States such as Oregon and Vermont have already passed rules that aim to protect ratepayers from data center expansion, and many more states have introduced bills to do the same.
“The public isn’t opposed to data centers, they’re opposed to paying for them on their power bill,” Sarah Hunt, the president and CEO of the right-leaning Rainey Center, told Jael in a separate story about how data centers are splintering the Republican Party. The Rainey Center’s own polling found that telling voters about policies such as President Trump’s Ratepayer Protection Pledge, a voluntary pact signed by big tech companies that agree to pay the full cost of connecting data centers to the grid, made them more likely overall to support AI data centers.
Heatmap’s polling found that blame toward data centers is escalating at about the same rate among all political parties, roughly doubling across the board. Among Republicans, 40% of those who identify as MAGA blamed data centers “a lot,” while 45% of those who identify as non-MAGA did. Democrats were generally more fervent, with 62% assigning major responsibility to data centers.
One other consistent feature in our polling is that both opposition to and blame for data centers is strongest among young people aged 18-34. Blame for data centers declined as respondents got older, with 67% of the youngest cohort pointing the finger most strongly at data centers compared to 44% of those over 65. (Aging Americans’ primary culprit for higher prices? An aging electrical grid.)
The Heatmap Pro poll of 4,118 American registered voters was conducted by Embold Research via text-to-web responses from May 15 to 28, 2026. The survey included interviews with Americans in all 50 states and Washington, D.C. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 1.6 percentage points.