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That makes two direct air capture acquisitions for the oil and gas major.

The Trump administration may not be enthusiastic about supporting megaprojects to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, but that’s not dampening Occidental Petroleum’s interest in the technology. Heatmap has learned that the oil and gas giant recently acquired the direct air capture startup Holocene for an undisclosed amount.
This is the second direct air capture company the fossil fuel producer has acquired in less than two years through its subsidiary, Oxy Low Carbon Ventures. It’s a sign “that the sector has legs,” Jason Hochman, the executive director of the Direct Air Capture Coalition, told me. “Why would Occidental acquire Holocene if they didn’t see a future in the sector as a whole? If they didn’t think there was money to be made?”
Like every other climate tech industry, direct air capture startups have faced a great deal of uncertainty since Trump took office. While the technology has historically had bipartisan support, the Trump administration has been excising programs and projects with seemingly any connection to climate change. It has hollowed out the Department of Energy’s carbon dioxide removal team, my colleague Katie Brigham reported in February, leaving just one employee overseeing the $3.5 billion Direct Air Capture Hubs program that was authorized by the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act. Additional cuts at the Office of Clean Energy Demonstrations, which also has a role in overseeing the program, or even a potential closure of that office, are expected in the coming weeks. The Direct Air Capture Hubs were also on a list of grants the administration was considering trying to cut.
Non-governmental funding for DAC is also precarious, as interest from new buyers in purchasing carbon removal has waned. A few companies have continued to announce new projects and deals, but Hochman told me he expects to see a fair amount of consolidation of the industry in the near term.
Occidental previously acquired Carbon Engineering, a pioneer in direct air capture technology, for $1.1 billion in August 2023, after working closely with the Canadian company to build its first major project in the United States. That project, a plant called Stratos in Ector County, Texas, is now nearing completion and expected to begin operating later this year. It’s designed to siphon 500,000 tons of carbon dioxide from the air per year.
Holocene “has an innovative direct air capture technology that is additive to Carbon Engineering,” William Fitzgerald, a spokesperson for Occidental told me in an email. “We believe combining these technologies will enable us to advance our R&D activities to improve the efficiency of our direct air capture process, reduce CO2 capture costs, and accelerate DAC deployment.”
Oxy’s acquisition of Carbon Engineering was controversial among climate advocates. While many see direct air capture as a promising way to clean up the excess carbon that will remain in the atmosphere even after emissions decline, skeptics worry that oil companies will use it as justification to keep producing oil — a fear that Oxy has not exactly allayed.
The company plans to take some of the carbon it captures and sequester it in dedicated carbon storage wells. It signed a deal to sequester 500,000 tons of carbon on behalf of Microsoft last year. But it will also pump carbon into aging oil wells to increase oil production, a process called enhanced oil recovery. In the past, Oxy’s CEO Vicki Hollub has framed its investments in direct air capture tech as a way to produce “net-zero oil,” and as a “license to continue to operate” as an oil producer.
More recently, Hollub has shifted her pitch to appeal to the Trump administration’s push for energy dominance. On an earnings call in February, she told investors that the industry could tap an additional 50 billion to 70 billion barrels of oil with the help of carbon captured from the atmosphere.
But direct air capture — both the technology itself, and the market for it — is still in its infancy. There are only so many deep-pocketed buyers like Microsoft willing to pay for sequestration. Unless Occidental sees more demand for carbon removal, its best business case for developing the technology is to recover oil.
“I understand the skepticism in certain quarters,” Hochman told me. “But the fact is that companies like Occidental have the exact set of expertise, of infrastructure, of the people who understand subsurface geology, and the balance sheets to do large projects and to scale this technology.” They’ll be able to build projects at scale much more quickly than a startup that spun out of a university lab, he said.
That’s not quite what Holocene is, but it’s not far off. A trio of MBA students at Stanford — two of whom were veterans of the leading direct air capture company Climeworks — started Holocene in 2023. They wanted to pursue a new approach to sucking carbon from the air that they licensed from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory, a government lab. I wrote about the startup last fall when it announced a deal to remove 100,000 tons of carbon from the atmosphere for Google at a record low price of $100 per ton.
At the time, Holocene had raised about $6 million from grants, prizes, and smaller carbon removal contracts, and built a very small pilot plant in Knoxville, Tennessee, that could scrub just 10 tons of CO2 from the air per year. When I last spoke to them, they were looking for funding to build a larger demonstration plant. They declined to comment for this story.
Holocene’s technology is similar to that of Carbon Engineering. Both companies use fans to pull air into a closed system, where it passes through a liquid with a unique chemistry that attracts CO2. In the case of Carbon Engineering, the carbon in the air binds with potassium hydroxide in water; in Holocene’s system, it binds with amino acids. Then both companies react that carbon-rich water with another chemical that further concentrates the CO2 into solids that can be filtered out. The last step is heating those solids, releasing the CO2 so that it can be sequestered underground.
Holocene’s advantage — and the reason it thinks it can achieve $100 per ton carbon removal — is that it uses a unique chemistry that requires relatively low heat to separate the CO2. Whereas Carbon Engineering uses natural gas for that final step, Holocene told me it could use renewable electricity, or even waste heat from a data center.
Hochman was hopeful that the deal would be an encouraging signal to the market. “It’s real money changing hands because of the hypothesis on the part of a large company that there’s a future in DAC. I would see that as something that would reassure investors in this sector, if not catalyze more investment.”
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The companies just launched a major VPP play.
For all the hype surrounding virtual power plants, they’re still a niche player on the U.S. electric grid. A new partnership between three of the biggest residential energy companies in the country — Tesla, Sunrun, and Renew Home — aims to recast VPPs into a leading role.
The companies announced on Wednesday that they have more than 16 gigawatts of dispatchable VPP capacity available today to deliver to utilities and data center developers throughout the country. That’s about the same as 16 nuclear reactors, except instead of generating power round the clock from a central plant, the companies aggregate unused electricity capacity from thousands of individual home solar and battery systems and programmable thermostats, and can make it available for several hours at a time.
Today, the companies bid these resources into electricity markets as a sort of bespoke grid service. A few times per year — often in the summer months when demand spikes — the grid operator in California might ask Sunrun to switch on its VPP to prevent a blackout. That means Sunrun’s rooftop solar and battery customers all either begin exporting excess power to the grid or rely more on their energy storage systems for their own power needs, reducing strain on the grid. Tesla operates similar programs, some in partnership with Sunrun. Renew Home, which spun out of Google Nest, does the same thing but with thermostats and water heaters, nudging temperatures on thousands of devices up or down during peak demand hours.
“A lot of our assets are enrolled in a contract where they can be used up to 20 times per year,” Paul Dickson, the president and chief revenue officer of Sunrun, told me. Now the company, along with its partners, are making the pitch to utilities and hyperscalers to view VPPs as 365-day resources, and more fully integrate them into their grid planning.
It’s a “turnkey” solution, the companies wrote in a press release, “deployable in months, not years,” that requires “no additional hardware, software, interconnection, water, or land usage for offtaking parties.”
VPPs also typically kick back some of the proceeds they earn from the electricity market to the residential customers hosting the solar panels, batteries, and programmable thermostats providing the power, meaning they can meet growing energy demand while helping to lower household energy bills. Sunrun and Renew Home paid out a combined $67 million in customer rewards last year.
About 60% of the 16 gigawatts the companies have available are tied to Renew Home’s enrolled devices, with the remaining 40% coming from Sunrun and Tesla’s solar and battery assets, Dickson told me. The capacity is also spread out geographically. There’s about 1.7 gigawatts available in Texas — the second largest data center market in the country, Dickson pointed out. There’s 300 megawatts available in Virginia, which the companies expect to grow to 500 megawatts by 2030.
“Unlike a traditional power plant that's fixed in size, this number grows every single day as the combined three companies continue to add additional capacity,” Dickson said. Sunrun alone plans to more than double its energy storage capacity by the end of 2028.
If utilities and large industrial customers buy the VPP pitch, the companies will be able to expand even more quickly, he added. If regulators or utilities come back and say, we’ll take your existing capacity today, and if you can add another gigawatt in the next year, here’s what we’ll pay, Sunrun could potentially reduce the upfront cost to customers to host the solar and battery installations, driving faster adoption.
The new partnership follows a similar announcement earlier this month from the VPP company Voltus, which signed a three-year agreement with Google. Voltus will provide up to 100 megawatts per year of capacity for Google in PJM, the country’s largest (and most constrained) electricity market covering much of the Midwest and mid-Atlantic. In that case, however, Voltus is using the deal with Google to finance the VPP, with the capacity set to come online by 2027.
The Tesla/Sunrun/Renew Home group is simply announcing they are open for business — they haven’t signed up any offtakers yet. Dickson told me the companies wanted to “make everybody aware that there is this uncontracted capacity, and make sure that it goes to the place that it can be most impactful.” Wednesday’s announcement is accompanied by a live map that shows where the capacity is. The companies did, however, already bid over a gigawatt of capacity into PJM, the larger energy market that Virginia is a part of, as part of its emergency procurement to meet near-term load growth in the region, and are waiting to hear if they were selected.
Last year, the electrification advocacy group Rewiring America published a paper arguing that hyperscalers could free up grid capacity for at least a third of the load growth expected from data centers if they paid for residential households to get heat pumps. All of that capacity would simply be the result of swapping inefficient appliances for more efficient versions, reducing the overall energy use of the homes. If hyperscalers also financed residential solar and storage upgrades, they could more than meet data center demand, the report posited.
That’s not how these VPP proposals are going to work — residential customers will still have to pay something to Sunrun and Tesla for their solar panels and batteries. But Ari Matusiak, the executive director of Rewiring America, told me he viewed these new VPP partnerships as a step in that direction. Today, energy markets are largely bifurcated between residential market activity and large industrial customers. “Where we are going is toward a world where we think about the household as actual energy infrastructure and not simply an end of the line billpayer,” he said. “Once you start doing that, it changes the economics of how those household upgrades are treated and what the opportunities are.”
Current conditions: The warehouse fire in Boyle Heights is raging for a third day, spewing dark smoke over the Downtown Los Angeles skyline • The death toll from Western Europe’s heatwave has reached into the dozens • An 18-wheeler carrying more than 400 beehives overturned in eastern Texas and filled a small neighborhood with more than 2 million honeybees.
Wally World is soon to be powered by the atom. On Tuesday, Walmart announced a 15-year deal with Constellation, the nation’s largest operator of nuclear plants, for a chunk of the electricity coming from the Dresden Clean Energy Center in Illinois. The agreement included about 176 megawatts of wholesale supply from the two-reactor station southwest of Chicago, including 30 megawatts of expanded generating capacity through “uprates” — upgrades that allow operators to get more power out of an existing unit. Over the past two years, tech giants such as Google, Microsoft, and Meta, have bought shares of the power coming from nuclear power stations as the companies sought steady supplies of clean electricity for their burgeoning data centers. But the Walmart deal stands out as one of the first to involve a major brick-and-mortar retailer. “We’re constantly evaluating new capabilities and energy solutions that help ensure the electricity we rely on is dependable, responsibly produced, and built to support long-term growth,” Shayne Wahlmeier, Walmart’s senior vice president of energy, said in a statement.
The Trump administration just unveiled one of its biggest bets on nuclear power yet. The Department of Energy announced $17.5 billion in low-interest loans for utilities to pay for the equipment needed to order new Westinghouse AP1000 reactors. The program marks arguably the most significant effort yet to reclaim U.S. control over its flagship reactor design. While the two 1,100-megawatt units completed at Southern Company’s Alvin W. Vogtle Generating Station in 2023 and 2024 were the first installed in the U.S., China has been building its own version of the reactors at an industrial scale for years. The program will support up to 10 reactors, including two per venture with as many as five utilities. The power companies, currently in talks with the administration, have not yet been named. But Dan Sumner, the chief executive of Westinghouse Electric, told The Wall Street Journal the deal “really kick-starts fleet-scale nuclear development in the United States.” As my colleague Robinson Meyer wrote last night: “I hesitate to praise the project's climate bonafides at the risk of discouraging the Trump administration, but it is worth noting that if this project were to succeed, it would be one of the largest state-assisted build-outs of zero-carbon electricity in recent American history. But it would still take some time to arrive: These reactors aren’t forecast to come online til 2035.”
Yet another behemoth solar farm has come online. On Tuesday, the developer rPlus Energies said its Green River Energy Center had started operations. The facility in central Utah with 400-megawatts of solar panels and 1,600 megawatt-hours of batteries is now the largest solar-and-storage plant within PacifiCorp’s six-state territory out west, including Oregon, Washington, California, Utah, Wyoming, and Idaho. “Operation Gigawatt is about ensuring Utah has the reliable, homegrown energy needed to power opportunity for generations,” Utah Governor Spencer Cox, a Republican, said in a statement. “Green River Energy Center represents the kind of large-scale energy investment we need to deliver reliable energy, support rural Utah, and help power the next generation of prosperity across our state.”
The opening comes as solar is now generating more U.S. power than coal, as I told you recently.
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The Supreme Court ruled Tuesday that Exxon Mobil has the right to sue a Cuban-owned company to recoup more than $70 million in 1960 dollars from an oil complex seized by the Cuban government after Fidel Castro’s revolution. Havana later transferred the ownership of the refinery, terminals, plants, and service stations to Corporación Cimex, the state-owned conglomerate. The lawsuit could now see the oil major try to recover more than $1 billion in losses. “Today’s decision is a critical moment in a 60 year effort to be compensated for what the Cuban government illegally seized,” Exxon spokesperson Todd Spitler told E&E News in an emailed statement. “It reflects two things: the merits of our argument and the fact that our company will fight a good fight for as long as it takes.”
The Trump administration understands the importance of refining cobalt — that’s why, as I reported last year, the Pentagon’s Defense Logistics Agency is pumping money into a startup that promises a new and cheap way to process the mineral. Canada’s Sherritt International started shutting down its Fort Saskatchewan refinery after the U.S. expanded sanctions on Cuba, halting exports of a feedstock supply needed for the plant in Alberta, Canada. The move, in addition to the Supreme Court ruling, come amid intensifying pressure by Washington on the Cuban regime.
California is once again following a New York trend. Just weeks after Albany sued to stop the Trump administration’s bid to pay TotalEnergies to give up its offshore wind projects, Sacramento is joining the litigation. “At a time when the country needs more reliable and sustainable power supply, the Trump Administration is busy using taxpayer money to strike backroom buyouts that make clean-energy projects disappear,” California Attorney General Rob Bonta said in a statement. “California won’t stand idly by as the Trump Administration illegally strikes deals to kill offshore wind projects and replace them with more windfalls for his fossil fuel friends; we’re putting the Administration on notice that we intend to sue.”
Rob checks in with Commodity Context’s Rory Johnston as the Iran War (hopefully) draws to a close.
When Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz earlier this year, experts projected oil prices would go to $200 a barrel. But then… they didn’t. In fact, while gasoline prices rose in the United States, and Europe and Asia suffered higher costs, the resulting energy crisis wasn’t even as bad as what followed Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
Why? China. The country seems to have absorbed the costs of Trump’s war of choice by releasing hundreds of millions of barrels from its strategic stockpile. On this episode of Shift Key, Rob is joined by Rory Johnston, an oil markets researcher and the author of the Commodity Context newsletter. They discuss China’s massive (and quiet) intervention, why it’s “the most important thing we learned” from the Iran War, and what it means for the future of energy and geopolitics. Shift Key is hosted by Robinson Meyer, the founding executive editor of Heatmap News.
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Mentioned:
China Oil Demand Doubts, Rory’s 2023 article about Chinese strategic stockbuilding
Previously on Shift Key: Why the Iran Ceasefire Hasn’t Ended the Energy Crisis, featuring Rory
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Music for Shift Key is by Adam Kromelow.