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On Stellantis and Samsung’s factories, a new Jaguar EV, and innovative climate finance

Current conditions: Japan’s warmest autumn ever recorded has delayed the country’s vibrant foliage season • The east coast of Australia is bracing for a “rain bomb” • A Canadian storm system is bringing a blast of Arctic air to the Midwest and Northeast today through Thursday.
The Biden administration yesterday approved a $7 billion conditional loan for the joint venture between Stellantis and Samsung SDI – called StarPlus Energy – to help the companies build two EV battery plants in Kokomo, Indiana. The Department of Energy estimates the projects will create 3,200 construction jobs and 2,800 operations jobs, and the finished plants will produce 67 GWh of batteries, “enough to supply approximately 670,000 vehicles annually.” The loan isn’t finalized yet, and its fate hangs in the balance as President-elect Trump’s administration may not see it through. Though as The New York Times noted, “both projects are in congressional districts represented by Republicans,” and “some of them may be unwilling to get in the way of projects that bring thousands of jobs and billions of dollars to their districts.” Just two days ago, Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares resigned, and the company has been posting sluggish U.S. sales figures. Last week the DOE announced another conditional loan for EVs: $6.6 billion for Rivian to build its Georgia manufacturing plant.
Jaguar has unveiled the first concept car of the company’s new all-electric era. The much-anticipated electric Type 00 (which apparently is pronounced “zero zero”) is a two-door coupe that comes in two colors: Miami pink and London blue. It will get up to 430 miles of range and charge 200 miles in 15 minutes. It will go on sale sometime in 2026 and cost at least $127,000. In its announcement, Jaguar called the car “an unmistakable, unexpected, and dramatic physical manifestation of Jaguar, as the brand continues its transformation.” The company has committed to going fully electric by 2025, and recently launched a rebrand complete with a new logo and a flashy but kind of weird ad campaign that hasn’t been entirely well received.

Barbados completed a “debt for climate resilience” swap that will free up about $125 million and enable the Caribbean island to invest in water and sewage infrastructure. So-called debt for nature swaps involve a country reducing or cancelling its debts by agreeing to preserve biodiversity or nature preservation. This is apparently the first case of a country using such a transaction to build climate resilience, and others are likely to follow Barbados’ lead. “In the face of the climate crisis, this groundbreaking transaction serves as a model for vulnerable states, delivering rapid adaptation benefits for Barbados,” said Prime Minister Mia Mottley. The government will have to meet sustainability performance targets as part of the deal.
The aviation industry is relying on “sustainable” aviation fuel – or SAF – to help it lower its carbon footprint. But a new report finds airlines aren’t using enough of the stuff to make any meaningful difference. The report, from Brussels-based advocacy group Transport and Environment, ranks 77 major global airlines and airline groups on their use of and commitment to SAF using a points scale of 0 to 100 and found that none of them scored above 61 points, “highlighting how much progress airlines still need to make.” Most airlines failed to get above 24 points. SAF makes up about 1% of global aviation fuel use, Reuters reported. It is more expensive than fossil fuel-based kerosene and there isn’t much of it to go around. The report points to a lack of investment in SAF from oil producers. Below is a graph showing oil giants’ estimated 2023 fuel production. You can just about see the SAF if you squint.

Tesla reportedly told Cybertruck workers at its factory in Austin, Texas, not to come to work today, tomorrow, or Thursday. “Given that it is a critical time for Tesla deliveries, particularly of its flagship model, the timing is suspect,” said Jameson Dow at Electrek, suggesting a sales slowdown. The company also lowered its Cybertruck leasing pricing, which might also indicate a demand slump for the electric pickup. Meanwhile, a Delaware judge yesterday rejected CEO Elon Musk’s $56 billion pay package for a second time, even after shareholders voted to reinstate it. Judge Kathaleen McCormick said the attempts to get the package approved were “creative” but “go against multiple strains of settled law.” If Tesla appeals, the case could go to the Delaware Supreme Court.
About 12,000 public EV charging ports came online in the U.S. over the last three months, bringing the total in the national charging network to more than 200,000. That’s double the number recorded in 2020.
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France’s deadliest heat wave since 2003 killed more than 2,700 people — and possibly as many as 5,700.
More than 5,700 excess deaths were recorded in France during this summer’s record-breaking heat wave, the country’s health agency announced today. That makes the event — which ran, by the official reckoning, from June 17 to July 2 — the country’s deadliest heat wave in more than 20 years.
That’s in line with other estimates we’ve heard. EuroMOMO, a network of European public health agencies that track excess mortality, found that the continent saw more than 10,000 excess deaths during the same period. Roughly 90% of those victims were older than 65, it said. (France’s cohort seems similar: Adults older than 75 made up about two-thirds of the victims, the government said.)
These numbers are staggering — and much larger than some astute Heatmap readers might anticipate. If you read my colleague Jeva Lange’s piece on why it’s so hard to estimate heat deaths last week, she cited a much smaller estimate: Roughly 2,700 died in France during the most recent heat wave. That tally came from Christopher Callahan, an Indiana University scientist who studies climate change’s economic and social costs.
Why is there such a gap between the figures? I emailed Callahan to find out. He shared a few thoughts. First, he uses a different (and theoretically more rigorous) method than the French government: “Our approach uses a statistical relationship between temperature and mortality to explicitly quantify how many additional deaths are associated with a given day’s temperature,” he wrote. “France’s report of excess deaths is just based on how many more people died in late June compared to previous Junes - but we don’t know if those people died because of the heat or some other factor.” (Carbon Brief recently published a Q&A on these varying approaches.)
That might mean his estimate is right, in which case France has misidentified roughly nearly 3,000 deaths. But it could also mean his model, which is trained on data from 2004 to 2019, is “missing something,” he said, like a post-Covid change to public health risk. Last year, Callahan and his colleagues used a similar model to estimate deaths from France’s worst-ever heatwave, a 2003 episode that overwhelmed morgues and killed about 16,000 people. Even 23 years ago, global warming helped make that disaster larger than it needed to be: Some 6,000 of those deaths were due to climate change, their paper found.
Either estimate of the 2026 heat wave, of course, is shattering. As Jeva wrote, even the lower figure would mean the 2026 heat wave killed as many people as died in three years of French homicides. But the divergence in estimates tells us something else too: Even as climate change breaks records and alters our world, we’re never going to quite agree on where it ends and normal randomness begins.
The AI data center boom does not seem close to ending. Google’s parent company, Alphabet, announced its second quarter results this evening, and it beat Wall Street’s expectations, nearly quadrupling its profit on a year-over-year basis. Among the drivers: Its cloud business grew 82% compared to the same quarter last year. (As I’ve written, that rapid growth is helping to turn Alphabet and other hyperscalers into light industrial firms.)
The company’s AI bets seem to be paying off so far — so Google is now planning on spending even more on data centers, energy infrastructure and AI development this year than it once anticipated. It raised its estimates of 2026 capital expenditure to $195 billion to $205 billion, which is above earlier projections and twice as much as it spent in the same category last year. 2027 could be even bigger, it signaled. The company’s shares fell slightly on the news in after-hours trading, but from an energy and climate wonk perspective, the message is clear: For now, the AI demand surge transforming the power sector — and the real economy — continues to chug along.