Sign In or Create an Account.

By continuing, you agree to the Terms of Service and acknowledge our Privacy Policy

Politics

Mexico Just Elected a Climate Scientist President

On the election of Claudia Sheinbaum, the farm bill, and hurricane season

•
Mexico Just Elected a Climate Scientist President
Heatmap illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: At least two people have died in ongoing flooding in southern Germany • Delhi’s deadly heat wave continues this week • Seven-inch hail reportedly fell in the Texas Panhandle.

THE TOP FIVE

1. Mexico elects climate scientist as next president

Mexico resoundingly elected Claudia Sheinbaum as its next president over the weekend. Sheinbaum, 61, is making headlines for becoming the country’s first female president, as well as its first Jewish leader, but she is also a climate scientist, and her landslide victory “could mark a turning point from the current administration’s pro-fossil fuel policies,” as Climate Home News explained. Sheinbaum studied physics and then received her doctorate in energy engineering. She spent four years at the Lawrence Berkeley Lab studying Mexico’s energy consumption, and had a brief stint on the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). She was tapped as secretary of the environment for Mexico City before being elected as the capital’s mayor in 2018. During her tenure she was an advocate for rooftop solar and better public transportation infrastructure.

Manuel Velasquez/Getty Images

On the presidential campaign trail, Sheinbaum promised to “accelerate the energy transition” by boosting wind and solar, installing new transmission lines, and improving the country’s hydropower stations. But she has also backed the “energy sovereignty” policies of her predecessor and mentor, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. He built an oil refinery, funneled support into an indebted state oil company, and failed to set a national net zero target. Under his leadership, private investment in renewable projects has slumped. Energy policy may be on Sheinbaum’s to-do list when she takes office in October, but tackling crime is likely to be top of the agenda.

2. House set to consider 2025 energy and environment programs

The House returns to Washington this week, with 12 bills for 2025 fiscal spending up for debate. GOP lawmakers will seek “deep cuts for energy and environment programs,” E&E News reported, while looking to shift funding toward bills that prioritize defense and homeland security. The proposed Agriculture spending bill, up for subcommittee considerations on June 11, contains annual funding for the U.S. Department of Agriculture, among other agencies. The farm bill got the stamp of approval from the Agriculture Committee recently after the panel “rejected a Democratic-led effort to preserve conservation programs’ focus on farming practices that reduce emissions tied to the warming and erratic climate,” according to E&E News.

3. La Niña looms as Atlantic hurricane season kicks off

The Atlantic hurricane season started on Saturday, and forecasters are getting nervous as ocean water temperatures remain at record highs and the La Niña weather pattern approaches. Warm waters supercharge storms, while La Niña removes wind shear, which is “one key barrier that can block Atlantic storms,” explained Brian Sullivan at Bloomberg. This morning the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said there is a 60% chance of La Niña returning between July and September, and a 70% chance that it’ll make an appearance between August and November. “We’ve never had a La Niña combined with ocean temperatures this warm in recorded history so that’s a little ominous,” University of Miami tropical meteorology researcher Brian McNoldy told PBS. Various agencies and experts (including NOAA and Colorado State University) estimate that the number of hurricanes this year could range between eight and 13, compared to the annual average of seven. But for now, the coast is clear:

NOAA

4. West Coast braces for early-season heat wave

A whopper early-season heat wave is headed for the West Coast, and it could last all week – maybe longer. The heat dome will likely tip temperatures into triple digits in Northern California, with Sacramento Valley expecting to see 110 degrees Fahrenheit by Wednesday. The heat could “be the death knell for the remainder of the state’s snowpack,” wrote Hayley Smith at the Los Angeles Times. Coastal regions will probably be spared the worst of the heat. That said, a wildfire near San Francisco has burned about 14,000 acres, making it the state’s largest fire of the season so far. It was about 50% contained as of yesterday.

5. OPEC locks in more oil production cuts

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies agreed over the weekend to continue to cut oil production into 2025, the Financial Times reported. There are several reasons: Demand growth remains slow, interest rates remain high, and the U.S. is ramping up production. All of this means OPEC+ isn’t keen to boost supply for fear of depressing oil prices, which have hovered around $80 per barrel recently, down from $90 in April, and much lower than OPEC’s desired $100 per barrel.

THE KICKER

The European Union’s wind and solar power generation has increased by 45% since 2019, while fossil fuel power generation has dropped by 22%.

Yellow

You’re out of free articles.

Subscribe to access Heatmap's exclusive climate and energy polling, award-winning journalism, and subscriber-only events. Save $57 on an annual subscription, just $156 $99/year.
To continue reading
Create a free account or sign in to unlock more free articles.
or
Please enter an email address
By continuing, you agree to the Terms of Service and acknowledge our Privacy Policy
AM Briefing

Pump and Trump

On OpenAI’s pledge, power plant emissions, and Kazakh tungsten

A gas station.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: The polar vortex that keeps air circulating around the North Pole collapsed months ahead of schedule, threatening to send frigid temperatures southward • India’s east coast Andhra Pradesh state is facing down yet another major storm as Severe Cyclone Murasu makes landfall • The catastrophic atmospheric river over the American Southwest has dumped more than 20 trillion gallons of water across Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, and Utah.


THE TOP FIVE

1. Gas prices hit a record high on the eve of America’s midterm elections

The average price of a gallon of gasoline during President Donald Trump’s second term topped $3.46 as of Monday, a record that exceeds the previous high set under the Biden administration. That’s according to a new analysis by the Financial Times. And that’s just the average across the past 22 months. The average price nationwide on November 2 clocked in at just under $4.17 per gallon. “If modern living boiled down to a price, it’s the price at the pump,” Bob McNally, a former energy advisor to the George W Bush administration and president of consultancy Rapidan Energy, told the newspaper. “Whether a voter is filling up that day or not, it’s likely that they see a pump price.”

Keep reading...Show less
Red
Daily Briefing

Think Congress Is Slow? Meet the Power Sector.

BAAJA would likely help speed up the U.S. transmission buildout, but there’s a chance we’re undercounting the benefits.

Power lines.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

This is Heatmap Daily, a weekday digest written by our executive editor. Subscribe here.

As you may have seen, my colleague Emily Pontecorvo and I got the first look at the Rhodium Group’s analysis of what the bipartisan permitting bill will do to emissions.

Keep reading...Show less
Blue
AM Briefing

Neutral, at Worst

On Chinese hydrogen, Fermi upheaval, and British offshore wind

Smokestacks.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: The Pineapple Express, an atmospheric river originating in the Pacific near Hawaii, is arriving in the Southwest laden with heavy rain that’s set to flood the region • Indonesia has the worst air quality in the world as forest fires rage along Sumatra’s southern coast • A cross-country storm will soak much of the United States on Tuesday’s Election Day.


THE TOP FIVE

1. Permitting bill’s worst-case climate scenario is still carbon neutral

The Senate’s grand compromise to simplify federal permitting on energy projects would likely drop emissions slightly as the benefits to accelerating deployments of clean energy infrastructure outweigh the boost the legislation could give to fossil fuels. Even under the worst-case scenario, emissions remain on the same trajectory as today. That’s according to a hotly anticipated new analysis by the Rhodium Group, the consultancy whose U.S. emissions estimates are among the most widely cited in American politics. The report, shared first with my colleague Emily Pontecorvo, found that provisions in the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act largely counteract each other on climate. The bill makes building transmission lines much easier, a key step to patching more renewables onto the grid. But it also makes new gas pipelines simpler to permit, clearing the way for a buildout of the infrastructure for the fossil fuel already dominating U.S. electricity and heating systems. Still, under the best-case scenario, the legislation could cut U.S. economy-wide emissions by 5% below where they would otherwise go in 2040. The bill could also slash energy bills by $78 per year and support construction of more than 200 gigawatts of clean energy capacity, as compared to a world where it didn’t pass. The Rhodium report is at least the second analysis yet to find that the bill could modestly lower emissions. The first, as I reported last week, came from the think tank Resources for the Future, which saw a slight drop in power-sector emissions relative to a world without BAAJA.

Keep reading...Show less
Blue