Sign In or Create an Account.

By continuing, you agree to the Terms of Service and acknowledge our Privacy Policy

Politics

The Biden Administration Is Pitching Trump on Its Final Clean Energy Tax Credits

The technology-neutral investment and production tax credits will save consumers money, the Treasury Department says.

The Treasury department exterior.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

The Biden administration rolled out the pièce de résistance of its Inflation Reduction Act tax credits on Tuesday, publishing the final rules for its overhaul of the clean energy subsidies at the heart of both the bill and United States alternative energy policy going back decades.

The final rules, which largely match proposed ones published in May, define what sources of energy are eligible for production and investment tax credits, known as 45Y and 48E — not, as before, by writing a list of qualifying energy technologies specified by Congress, but rather by lumping together all zero-emissions energy sources into one big group of winners and then letting developers choose which credit they want to use.

The tax credits cover “wind, solar, hydropower, marine and hydrokinetic, geothermal, nuclear,” according to a Treasury Department release, as well as “certain waste energy recovery property” (heat from buildings), and sets out a process for determining how combustion-dependent sources such as biogas, biomass, and natural gas derived from sources like cow manure could qualify. And unlike the tax credits they replaced, which had fixed time periods they were in effect, the tech neutral credits either begin phasing out in 2032 or when electricity sector greenhouse gas emissions are a quarter of their 2022 level, whichever comes second.

It’s not lost on anyone at Treasury or in the Biden administration that with Trump set to take office again in less than two weeks, these rules will be cast into doubt almost as soon as they’re rolled out. The administration is thus making an effort to cast the tax credits as a money-saving proposition for energy consumers — especially households — and a spur for investment across the country.

On Monday, the power market forecasting firm Aurora Energy Research released an analysis finding that scrapping certain IRA provisions, including the technology neutral credits, would “result in $336 billion less investment, 237 gigawatts less clean energy generation capacity, and at least 97,000 net fewer American jobs by 2040.” But what will likely catch the attention of policymakers is its conclusion that “consumers could see monthly household energy bills rise by an average of 10%, with states like Texas facing an increase of up to 22% compared to a scenario with continued tax credit support.”

Deputy Secretary of the Treasury Wally Adeyemo emphasized America’s energy competitiveness on a call with reporters Monday about the final rules. “The tech neutral ITC and PTC” — that is, investment tax credit and production tax credit — “will drive innovation by creating conditions for new zero-emission technologies to develop over time,” Adeyemo said. These policies together constitute an “energy moon shot,” he added, “because they reward innovation and innovative technologies developed in America to drive down energy costs while creating good paying jobs.”

Whether these arguments will convince to the Trump administration we will soon find out. While some Republicans have lined up in support of Inflation Reduction Act tax credits that have led to jobs in their districts, the incoming economic braintrust has taken a dim view of the bill, and Congress will be on the hunt for any spare dollar they can find to offset the costs of extending the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Trump’s incoming chair of the Council of Economic Advisors, Stephen Miran, has described the IRA, along with other Biden industrial policy initiatives like the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law and the CHIPS Act, as “tilting at windmills to boost politically favored sectors that can survive only with permanent subsidization.” Trump’s designee for the Secretary of Treasury, Scott Bessent, has said the IRA “will severely distort the supply side of the economy by crowding out investment in more productive sectors.”

While specific technologies have long been popular with specific Republicans — see “wind” and “Chuck Grassley” — lumping together the technologies along with a variety of bonuses designed to achieve Democratic policy goals around serving specific communities or workers could put the entire edifice of clean energy support at risk.

A few weeks ago, the Treasury released final rules governing the old tax credits, which were also updated under the IRA. Projects would qualify for 48E and 45Y for projects placed into service this year or later, while those that began construction before the end of the year could still qualify for the old credits. Many analysts think that even if the IRA were adjusted or repealed, an administrative process could be put in place to protect credits for projects that have already started.

In any case, in just 13 days, we’ll start getting answers, or at least putting the theories to the test.

Green

You’re out of free articles.

Subscribe today to experience Heatmap’s expert analysis 
of climate change, clean energy, and sustainability.
To continue reading
Create a free account or sign in to unlock more free articles.
or
Please enter an email address
By continuing, you agree to the Terms of Service and acknowledge our Privacy Policy
Electric Vehicles

Inside Ford’s Secret EV Skunkworks

Where the company is trying to restart its electric car program from scratch

Ford's EV skunkworks.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images, Ford

Two thousand miles from Detroit, just across the road from the runways of Long Beach Airport, the future of Ford is taking shape. What that shape is, however, the company isn’t quite ready to share yet.

Last week, the automaker invited some members of the car press inside the secret compound where Ford is developing its next battery-powered vehicle, an affordable midsize pickup truck due out next year. Although the actual appearance of that truck is a closely guarded secret, as is just about everything else about it, Ford wanted to show off its launchpad, the Electric Vehicle Development Center. The research and development campus, with its two white warehouses glimmering in the Southern California sun, is about more than one car. Inside, teams of engineers, coders, and designers are trying to reinvent how Ford makes vehicles in the hopes of turning around its fortunes in the electric era. As the company at large has canceled EV models and infrastructure and taken on billions of dollars in losses to transition some of its EV assets back to combustion, EVDC represents its one big chance to find a way forward in electric cars.

Keep reading...Show less
Blue
AM Briefing

‘Big Deal’ Blackout Warning

On thorium, South Carolina nuclear, and green steel

A data center.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Severe thunderstorms are drenching the American South from New Orleans to Virginia Beach • Mount Mayon has forced thousands to evacuate within the Philippines’ Bicol peninsula • Temperatures in Denver are poised to plunge from about 75 degrees Fahrenheit yesterday to 39 degrees today with a chance of snow.


THE TOP FIVE

1. The U.S. grid reliability watchdog just issued a rare, very serious warning

Looking dimmer. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Keep reading...Show less
Blue
Climate Tech

Exclusive: Trillium Raises $13 Million for Plant-Based Industrial Chemicals

A ubiquitous byproduct of the oil and gas industry just got a green competitor.

Pouring a leaf.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

The chemicals industry, which accounts for about 5% of global emissions, can seem like a black box. Fossil fuel-based feedstocks go in and out pop plastic toys or agricultural fertilizer or laundry detergent. But most of us don’t understand what happens in between. That’s the part of the supply chain where Trillium Renewable Chemicals is focused, as it scales production of bio-based acrylonitrile, a key chemical intermediate used to make products ranging from carbon fiber aircraft components to plastic Lego bricks and rubber medical gloves.

Though you might not have heard of this mouthful of a chemical, acrylonitrile’s production is a major contributor to the embedded emissions of all the products that it goes into, as it’s typically derived from propylene, a byproduct of the oil and gas industry. “When you look at the lifecycle analysis of these products, the thing that jumps off the page is acrylonitrile dominates that lifecycle,” Trillium’s CEO, Corey Tyree, told me. “It is the number one challenge.”

Keep reading...Show less
Green