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Sparks

We Breached 1.5 Degrees Celsius of Warming — Sort Of

What today’s news from Copernicus does and doesn’t mean.

Mexico.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Somewhat fittingly, Heatmap’s first year in existence coincided with the planet’s first 12-month period with an average temperature more than 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, according to a new report from the EU’s Copernicus Climate Change Service. This might not come as a surprise if you’ve been reading us for any amount of time. But still, the number is striking — it’s the target we’ve long heard about, the threshold that the Paris Agreement is trying to keep us under.

It might be easy, then, to look at this report with a bit of despair. I am here to tell you otherwise. Some things to keep in mind:

  • For starters, this report does not mean we’ve missed the Paris Agreement’s target; Copernicus’ report covers average temperatures over one year, while the Paris Agreement’s targets operate on 20- or 30-year timescales.

  • El Niño was also a factor. The warm ocean phenomenon tends to bring higher global temperatures, so it’s possible the average could dip back down in a La Niña year (which the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says is probably on its way soon).

  • This threshold is not a point of no return. As I wrote in my very first piece for Heatmap, humanity operates on stunningly compressed time scales compared to the rest of our planet. It didn’t take us very long to reach this point; similarly, the speed of our efforts to decarbonize will affect the speed at which we will return to more livable temperatures.

If anything, think of today’s number news as a call to action. The last year was a preview of what life could be like above 1.5 degrees C; the next few years will likely also be incredibly hot compared to pre-industrial levels, and we must do our best to mitigate the pain and loss to come.

We’ll be covering those efforts at Heatmap, as we always do, but if you’d like an idea of the various paths available to us for decarbonization, this Carbon Brief interactive is a good place to start.

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Sparks

Trump Brings Back Direct Air Capture Hubs

The administration reinstated previously awarded grants worth up to $1.2 billion total.

A DAC hub.
Heatmap Illustration/1PointFive

The Department of Energy is allowing the Direct Air Capture hub program created by the Biden administration to move forward, according to a list the department submitted to Congress on Wednesday.

The program awarded up to $1.2 billion to two projects — Occidental Petroleum’s South Texas DAC Hub, and Climeworks and Heirloom’s joint Project Cypress in Louisiana — both of which appeared on a list of nearly 2,000 grants that have passed the agency’s previously announced review of Biden-era awards.

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Scoop: Energy Vault Makes a Play for Japan’s Storage Market

The nearly California-based company is buying a pipeline of projects from an unnamed Japanese developer.

Energy Vault storage.
Heatmap Illustration/Energy Vault

The energy transition isn’t static, and the companies pivoting to match the shifting needs of the moment tend to point the way to where demand is going.

Take Energy Vault. Founded by a group of Swiss engineers in 2017, the company sought to meet the swelling need for long-duration energy storage that can last beyond the four hours or so you get from a grid-scale lithium-ion battery by devising a new gravity-based systems for keeping energy stored for the long term. The problem was, there was no obvious market.

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‘Power Plant Day’

On Abu Dhabi aluminum, Brazil’s offshore wind, and Dominica’s geothermal

Donald Trump.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Two major storms, Tropical Cyclone Maila and Tropical Cyclone Vaianu are barreling through the South Pacific • San Juan, Puerto Rico’s capital, is on track for heavy thunderstorms with lightning throughout most of the week • Temperatures in the Philippines’ densest northern cities are set to hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit this week.


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