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Sparks

Tesla Prepares Investors For Its Gap Year

The company is trying to figure out what to do next.

A Tesla.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

2023 was the year Tesla decided it would sell a lot of cars, even if it meant lowering prices. This year, however, Tesla may see “notably slower” growth, the company warned Wednesday in an investor update.

Tesla argued it was “between two major growth waves.” The first saw the rise of the Model 3 and Model Y, its more moderately priced sedan and SUV which together made up over 95 percent of its total unit sales in 2023. “The next one we believe will be initiated by the global expansion of the next-generation vehicle platform,” the company said, likely referencing its rumored “Redwood” vehicle that Reuters reported the company wants to start producing in the middle of next year.

The Model Y, Tesla said, is “the best-selling vehicle, of any kind, globally” following its 1.2 million deliveries in 2023. “For a long time, many doubted the viability of EVs. Today, the best-selling vehicle on the planet is an EV,” Tesla’s investor update said.

The company also flagged that the continuing rollout of the Cybertruck, which launched late last year, weighed on its profits. But the biggest change for the company was the pursuit of lower prices. The company’s $25.2 billion of revenues in the fourth quarter was due to “growth in vehicle deliveries” — selling more cars — albeit at lower average prices. So while revenue grew, it only grew 3% from a year ago.

Whether the electric vehicle sector as a whole is slowing is a matter of some debate. But Tesla is clearly trying to figure out what to do next, after successfully building up its business from near-bankruptcy and selling 1.8 million cars per year. Before the Cybertruck launch, it hadn’t refreshed its lineup in years and did not provide a specific figure for how many vehicles it expects to sell in 2024. Historically its deliveries have risen around 50% a year, although it “only” sold 38% more cars in 2023 than 2022.

Profits tell a similar story to its revenue: Tesla said that reduced prices weighed on its profitability, as did increased spending on artificial intelligence, especially its self-driving technology. It also flagged that its battery business contributed to its overall profits.

The company’s earnings per share of 71 cents and its revenue of $25.2 billion were slightly short of Wall Street estimates, according to Bloomberg.

Tesla shares have been flagging this year, down 16 percent from the end of last year and falling again in after-hours trading following the release of its earnings report. The tech-heavy Nasdaq as a whole is up around 5% this year.

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Matthew Zeitlin profile image

Matthew Zeitlin

Matthew is a correspondent at Heatmap. Previously he was an economics reporter at Grid, where he covered macroeconomics and energy, and a business reporter at BuzzFeed News, where he covered finance. He has written for The New York Times, the Guardian, Barron's, and New York Magazine. Read More

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Sparks

Vermont Is One Signature Away From a Climate Superfund

The state’s Republican governor has a decision to make.

Vermont flooding.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

A first-of-its-kind attempt to make fossil fuel companies pay for climate damages is nearly through the finish line in Vermont. Both branches of the state legislature voted to pass the Climate Superfund Act last week, which would hit oil and gas companies with a bill for the costs of addressing, avoiding, and adapting to a world made warmer by oil and gas-related carbon emissions.

The bill now heads to the desk of Republican Governor Phil Scott, who has not said whether he will sign it. If he vetoes it, however, there’s enough support in the legislature to override his decision, Martin LaLonde, a representative from South Burlington and lead sponsor of the bill, told me. “It's a matter of making sure everybody shows up,” he said.

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Sparks

Will Space Weather Blow Out My Solar Panels?

Here’s how much you should worry about the coming solar storm.

The Sun.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

You have probably heard by now that there’s a big solar storm on its way toward us. (If not, sign up for Heatmap AM, our daily roundup of climate and energy news.) On Wednesday, the sun started ejecting massive columns of geomagnetic activity out into space in Earth’s direction. That geomagnetism is due to arrive around 11p.m. ET on Friday, triggering huge fluctuations in the Earth’s geomagnetic field.

Those fluctuations can actually generate their own electric current. And too much of that current can wreak havoc on the electrical grid.

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Climeworks' Mammoth station.
Heatmap Illustration/Climeworks

If one company has set the pace for direct air capture, it’s Climeworks. The Switzerland-based business opened its — and the world’s — first commercial DAC plant in 2017, capable of capturing “several hundred tons” of carbon dioxide each year. Today, the company unveiled its newest plant, the aptly named Mammoth. Located in Iceland, Mammoth is designed to take advantage of the country’s unique geology to capture and store up to 36,000 metric tons of carbon per year — eventually. Here’s what you need to know about the new project.

1. Mammoth is, well, huge

Mammoth is not yet operating at full capacity, with only 12 of its planned 72 capturing and filtering units installed. When the plant is fully operational — which Climeworks says should be sometime next year — it will pull up to 36,000 metric tons of CO2 out of the atmosphere annually. For scale, that’s about 1/28,000th of a gigaton. To get to net zero emissions, we’ll have to remove multiple gigatons of carbon from the atmosphere every year.

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