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Climate

China’s Minerals Pause All Pain, No Gain for U.S.

On China’s export pause, BrightDrop demand, and fighting wildfires

China’s Minerals Pause All Pain, No Gain for U.S.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: More than 28 million people in the Ohio Valley are at risk of severe thunderstorms todayIntense heat in Vietnam’s Ho Chi Minh City may be behind dozens of cases of food poisoning linked to street vendorsParts of Michigan’s Upper Peninsula could see up to 10 inches of snow by late Tuesday.

THE TOP FIVE

1. China suspends exports of critical minerals, magnets

Manufacturers dependent on critical minerals and magnets are bracing for shortages and production delays after China suspended exports last week, in apparent retaliation for tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. The pause comes as China implements a new regulatory system, although it is expected to cut off shipments to some U.S. companies indefinitely, The New York Times reports.

China produces nearly all of the world’s heavy rare earth metals and rare earth magnets, which are crucial components for electric car motors, as well as drones, missiles, and spacecraft. But while rare earth magnets make up a small portion of China’s exports and the pause will cause “minimal economic pain” to Beijing, there is “potential for big effects in the United States and elsewhere,” the Times writes. Emergency stockpiles of heavy rare earth metals and magnets vary by company, but many American manufacturers have historically kept little to no extra inventory on hand.

2. GM pauses production of its electric delivery van citing ‘market demand’

GM announced Friday that it is pausing production of its electric Chevrolet BrightDrop delivery van through October, citing “market demand and rebalancing inventory.” The decision will see the automaker temporarily lay off 1,200 workers at its assembly plant in Ontario, Canada, with a permanent reduction of 450 workers expected when production resumes at lower levels in the fall. “This is a crushing blow,” Lana Payne, the president of Unifor, Canada’s largest private sector union, said in a statement. Last year, the Ontario plant produced 3,500 BrightDrop vans, of which GM sold 1,529; this year, it has sold just 247. The Detroit Free Press cites the vehicle’s $74,000 price tag as a reason for lagging sales, while Electrek points to the uncertainty of Trump’s tariffs for “causing companies like GM to expect more pain in the near term.”

3. Trump plans to create a federal wildfire agency: report

The Trump administration is reportedly considering an executive order calling for creating a new wildland fire agency focused on the “immediate” suppression of wildfires. While many organizations and industry insiders have long awaited reforms in how the federal government combats wildfires — including pushing for the creation of a National Wildland Fire Service — the news was also met by concerns that the order could loosen certain requirements, especially for aerial firefighting.

Washington State’s Commissioner of Public Lands Dave Upthegrove warned The Spokesman-Review in a statement that “If the draft is implemented as currently written it will, among other things, eliminate critical safety measures that protect aerial firefighters,” including independent inspections of tankers and planes that perform surveillance by the Forest Service. The Trump administration has responded to speculation over the EO by saying, “The media should stop reporting on ‘drafts’ with unknown origins.”

4. Goldman Sachs: Oil and gas companies ‘should be a cornerstone of ESG funds’

Michele Della Vigna, the head of natural resources research at Goldman Sachs, told CNBC that investors should consider including oil and gas stocks as a “cornerstone” of their ESG portfolios. While fossil fuel companies have traditionally been excluded from investments focused on “environmental, social, and governance” factors, Della Vigna likened a reappraisal of oil and gas to the way that some ESG funds have started to shift to include defense stocks. “This energy transition will be much longer than expected,” he said, adding that fossil fuel companies are major investors in low-carbon technologies and “we will not have affordable energy” otherwise.

The White House has singled out law firms with a focus on ESG and promoted support of coal and oil, but despite the pressures, others who spoke to CNBC remained skeptical of Della Vigna’s argument. “We can see the negative impacts of oil and gas,” Ida Kassa Johannesen, the head of commercial ESG at Saxo Bank, said, adding, “I mean, why would we want to see more fossil fuels? Most ESG investors would not.”

5. Noboa, Ecuadorian president with mixed environmental record, wins reelection

Franklin Jacome/Getty Images

Center-right President Daniel Noboa won reelection in Ecuador on Sunday, earning a full four-year term after taking power in snap elections in November 2023. While Ecuador has been an international leader on environmental issues, famously recognizing the legal rights of nature in its 2008 constitution, Noboa has a more mixed record, with critics claiming he has prioritized the nation’s economy over proposals for emissions reductions. Noboa notably has welcomed an anticipated $42 billion in foreign investment in oil production over the next five years, even as a 2024 national referendum blocked the government’s plan to restart drilling in Yasuní National Park. (Noboa has said he’s considering a moratorium on that referendum.) The impacts of a warmer climate have been immediately felt in Ecuador, however; the nation endured blackouts last year due to the impacts of a drought on the nation’s hydroelectric plants, and Noboa has pledged rainwater harvesting and storage projects during his second term.

THE KICKER

On Friday, 63 nations — including China, Brazil, and much of Europe, but excluding the United States — voted to approve a first-of-its-kind tax on greenhouse gas emissions by ships in the shipping industry.

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Sparks

New York’s Largest Battery Project Has Been Canceled

Fullmark Energy quietly shuttered Swiftsure, a planned 650-megawatt energy storage system on Staten Island.

Curtis Sliwa.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

The biggest battery project in New York has been canceled in a major victory for the nascent nationwide grassroots movement against energy storage development.

It’s still a mystery why exactly the developer of Staten Island’s Swiftsure project, Fullmark Energy (formerly known as Hecate), pulled the plug. We do know a few key details: First, Fullmark did not announce publicly that it was killing the project, instead quietly submitting a short, one-page withdrawal letter to the New York State Department of Public Service. That letter, which is publicly available, is dated August 18 of this year, meaning that the move formally occurred two months ago. Still, nobody in Staten Island seems to have known until late Friday afternoon when local publication SI Advance first reported the withdrawal.

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Blue
AM Briefing

Exxon Counterattacks

On China’s rare earths, Bill Gates’ nuclear dream, and Texas renewables

An Exxon sign.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Hurricane Melissa exploded in intensity over the warm Caribbean waters and has now strengthened into a major storm, potentially slamming into Cuba, the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Jamaica as a Category 5 in the coming days • The Northeast is bracing for a potential nor’easter, which will be followed by a plunge in temperatures of as much as 15 degrees Fahrenheit lower than average • The northern Australian town of Julia Creek saw temperatures soar as high as 106 degrees.

THE TOP FIVE

1. Exxon sued California

Exxon Mobil filed a lawsuit against California late Friday on the grounds that two landmark new climate laws violate the oil giant’s free speech rights, The New York Times reported. The two laws would require thousands of large companies doing business in the state to calculate and report the greenhouse gas pollution created by the use of their products, so-called Scope 3 emissions. “The statutes compel Exxon Mobil to trumpet California’s preferred message even though Exxon Mobil believes the speech is misleading and misguided,” Exxon complained through its lawyers. California Governor Gavin Newsom’s office said the statutes “have already been upheld in court and we continue to have confidence in them.” He condemned the lawsuit, calling it “truly shocking that one of the biggest polluters on the planet would be opposed to transparency.”

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Red
The Aftermath

How to Live in a Fire-Scarred World

The question isn’t whether the flames will come — it’s when, and what it will take to recover.

Wildfire aftermath.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

In the two decades following the turn of the millennium, wildfires came within three miles of an estimated 21.8 million Americans’ homes. That number — which has no doubt grown substantially in the five years since — represents about 6% of the nation’s population, including the survivors of some of the deadliest and most destructive fires in the country’s history. But it also includes millions of stories that never made headlines.

For every Paradise, California, and Lahaina, Hawaii, there were also dozens of uneventful evacuations, in which regular people attempted to navigate the confusing jargon of government notices and warnings. Others lost their homes in fires that were too insignificant to meet the thresholds for federal aid. And there are countless others who have decided, after too many close calls, to move somewhere else.

By any metric, costly, catastrophic, and increasingly urban wildfires are on the rise. Nearly a third of the U.S. population, however, lives in a county with a high or very high risk of wildfire, including over 60% of the counties in the West. But the shape of the recovery from those disasters in the weeks and months that follow is often that of a maze, featuring heart-rending decisions and forced hands. Understanding wildfire recovery is critical, though, for when the next disaster follows — which is why we’ve set out to explore the topic in depth.

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