Sign In or Create an Account.

By continuing, you agree to the Terms of Service and acknowledge our Privacy Policy

Podcast

The Weird State-Level Races That Matter for Climate Change

Rob talks with Caroline Spears, the founder and executive director of Climate Cabinet.

•
Voting.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Every midterm, the focus is on Congress — and for good reason. But in two weeks, Americans will vote on a number of state races that will matter immensely to the energy system, the power grid, and the future direction of greenhouse gas emissions.

Climate Cabinet tracks those races, using what it calls “the moneyball approach” to identify the local offices nationwide with the most potential climate impact. On this episode of Shift Key, Caroline Spears, the founder and executive director of Climate Cabinet, joins Rob to discuss what's at stake this election, which state races will matter the most, and which races to watch to see where climate policy might go in 2027 and beyond.

Shift Key is hosted by Robinson Meyer, the founding executive editor of Heatmap News.

Subscribe to “Shift Key” and find this episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon, YouTube, or wherever you get your podcasts.

You can also add the show’s RSS feed to your podcast app to follow us directly.

Here is an excerpt from their conversation:

Caroline Spears:
I can tell you what our most successful candidates did last year and this year: They’re talking about cost.

Robinson Meyer:
Yeah.

Caroline Spears:
That’s who's successful. So when we think about those Georgia Public Service Commission elections last year, Peter Hubbard and Alicia Johnson ran a bills-first campaign. How can we lower your household bills? And so that’s who’s being successful in these races. And it’s because our best candidates are the people who talk to voters a lot, door-knock a lot. They’re hearing what people want to talk about. And they’re saying, “Hey, how can I use this office to actually be helpful there?” So, yeah, I mean — that’s a good campaign, which is: What do people care about? How am I going to deliver for that?

Robinson Meyer:
Yeah. There’s only been that small set of elections since affordability really became a national issue and an issue that I think Democrats felt comfortable leading after the 2024 election. We’ve only had the ‘25 elections. And I guess in ‘25, you could say Mikey Sherrill in New Jersey. I realize I keep bringing up New Jersey, but it’s New Jersey and Virginia that are the only two off-year cycles. And I guess actually in both of those states, we’ve seen the Democrats who then won in the ‘25 election put affordability right at the center of their governance. But there’s not a lot of other track record to point to.

Caroline Spears:
Yes. What I will add to that, though, is usually when you’re going into an election year, again, a good, successful candidate is talking to voters a lot. You will see legislative action that kind of presages what you think is going to happen in ‘27. We've seen so many data center bills, Rob. We're all drowning in data center bills. Over 300 were introduced in the first six weeks of 2026. It's been wild. The big thing that a lot of states have gotten passed, not that many, but just like the modal data center bill has been rolling back the tax breaks the data centers have received, which is a good start, but doesn’t even get close to where voters want politicians to be on data centers. So we’re going to see a lot more of that. If this year was crazy, next year will be even more so.

You can find a full transcript of the episode here.

Mentioned:

Caroline’s elections to watch:

Georgia Public Utility Commission

Arizona Corporation Commission

Eileen Hartnett Albillar in Pennsylvania Senate District 6

Trevor Jung, from Wisconsin Senate District 21

Aaron Lieberman in Arizona Senate District 4

This episode of Shift Key is sponsored by ...

RE+ 26 is the largest clean energy event in North America, happening November 16th through 19th at the Las Vegas Convention Center. Register at re-plus.com and use code SHIFTKEY20 to save 20% off a Full Conference pass.

Every year Giving Green researches the top climate nonprofits and sends 100% of every dollar donated to its Giving Green Fund straight to them. Make your first gift before the new year, and it will be matched up to $500. Go to GivingGreen.earth/Shift.

Formed through a joint venture between Wärtsilä and RCT Solutions, Valo helps utilities, independent power producers, and developers navigate market and grid complexity without sacrificing system performance. Learn more at valoenergy.com.

Music for Shift Key is by Adam Kromelow.

Blue

You’re out of free articles.

Subscribe to access Heatmap's exclusive climate and energy polling, award-winning journalism, and subscriber-only events. Save $57 on an annual subscription, just $156 $99/year.
To continue reading
Create a free account or sign in to unlock more free articles.
or
Please enter an email address
By continuing, you agree to the Terms of Service and acknowledge our Privacy Policy
Economy

Energy Prices Are Still Heating Up the Economy

That almost certainly means another rate hike in December.

Power lines.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Just about everything is getting more expensive — and it’s doing so faster than expected.

Overall prices rose 0.4% in October from September, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, compared to the 0.3% analysts were expecting. Helping lead the way was energy, which got 0.7% more expensive overall in October, thanks largely to gasoline (a 1% hike), electricity (a 0.9% hike), and fuel oil (2%).

Keep reading...Show less
Politics

House Moderates Say Now Is the Time for Permitting Reform

Members wanted to seize the moment at a post-midterms Heatmap event in Washington, D.C.

Heatmap's Washington, DC event.
Heatmap Illustration/Taylor Mickal, Getty Images

Key House Democrats batted back against waiting until the next Congress to do a major permitting reform bill.

Speaking at a Heatmap event in downtown D.C. on Tuesday morning, multiple House Democrats — Representatives Nikki Budzinski of Illinois and George Whitesides and Scott Peters, both of California — all threw cold water on the idea that Democrats should wait until next year, when they will have full control over both houses of Congress, to advance a permitting bill like the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act, a.k.a. BAAJA.

Keep reading...Show less
Blue
AM Briefing

Finding Cloture

On X-energy’s win, Seth Cohen’s new gig, and Greta’s return to climate

The Capitol.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: The City of London has issued a pollution warning after fireworks launched in celebration of Guy Fawkes Day and Diwali created a dangerous haze over the British capital • The first snow of the season is coming to the northern parts of the Great Lakes and Northeast • The Southeast, too, is bracing for frost and chilly temperatures by the end of the week.


THE TOP FIVE

1. BAAJA passed its first vote

The Senate has permitted permitting reform to progress — or, as my colleague Jael Holzman put it, the bill “survived its first test.” On Monday evening, the chamber voted 73 to 25 to advance the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act, or BAAJA. The cloture vote — an initial procedural step to end debate on a bill and move to a final vote — split the Democrats who won new terms in last week’s election. Senators Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock of Georgia, Elissa Slotkin of Michigan, and Ruben Gallego of Arizona all voted yes; Senators Mark Kelly of Arizona, Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, and Cory Booker of New Jersey voted no.

Keep reading...Show less
Yellow