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What Do Rich Countries Owe Their Old Colonies? More Than Once Thought.

A new report from Carbon Brief shows how accounting for empires tips the historic emissions balance.

British colonialists in India.

The British pose in India.

Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

At the height of Britain’s power, it was said that the sun never set on its empire. The crown’s tendrils stretched around the world, with colonies on every continent but Antarctica — though I’m sure if there had been anybody around to subjugate on the ice, the crown would have happily set up shop there, too.

The British were not, of course, the only colonial power; many of their European brethren had empires of their own. All that colonization takes energy, and the days of empire were also, for the most part, the days of coal. But as countries around the world gained their independence, they also found themselves responsible for the historic emissions that came from their colonizers burning fossil fuels within their borders.

A new analysis from Carbon Brief aims to correct that record. Using the same methodology as an analysis of historic emissions conducted in 2021, researchers found that accounting for colonial rule dramatically shifts the responsibility for climate change towards the historic European powers. My home country of India, for example, sees its share of historical responsibility fall by 15%, while the UK, its former ruler, sees its share nearly double. The Netherlands’ share, meanwhile, nearly triples.

This is a rare kind of post-colonial accountability, and it thoroughly reshuffles the ranking table of biggest historic polluters. The UK, for example, rises from 9th place on the emissions chart to 5th — above India, which sits steady at 8th — while the Netherlands goes from 35th to 13th:

For years, developing nations have been pushing for wealthy countries — many of which are former colonial powers, their riches built through pillage — to pay for a loss and damage fund that some argue should have its contributions decided based on each country’s historic emissions. It’s unlikely this Carbon Brief analysis will affect discussions at COP28 in Dubai, where the loss and damage fund will no doubt be a point of negotiation yet again, but it’s a striking report regardless. The colonial powers have tried their best to wash their hands of their violent legacy; soot stains, it seems, are a bit harder to erase from the record.

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Sparks

The Country’s Largest Power Markets Are Getting More Gas

Three companies are joining forces to add at least a gigawatt of new generation by 2029. The question is whether they can actually do it.

Natural gas pipelines.
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Two of the biggest electricity markets in the country — the 13-state PJM Interconnection, which spans the Mid-Atlantic and the Midwest, and ERCOT, which covers nearly all of Texas — want more natural gas. Both are projecting immense increases in electricity demand thanks to data centers and electrification. And both have had bouts of market weirdness and dysfunction, with ERCOT experiencing spiky prices and even blackouts during extreme weather and PJM making enormous payouts largely to gas and coal operators to lock in their “capacity,” i.e. their ability to provide power when most needed.

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So far, PJM and Texas’ call for new gas has been more widely heard than answered. The power producer Calpine said last year that it would look into developing more gas in PJM, but actual investment announcements have been scarce, although at least one gas plant scheduled to close has said it would stay open.

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