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Lifestyle

Climate House Hunting: Local Heroes

The week’s buzziest real estate listings, ranked by climate risk.

Aaron Rodgers.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Glued to real estate posts on The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Dwell, or Architectural Digest and wondering how those gorgeous homes will hold up in the next decades? I have you covered.

Heatmap has partnered with my new climate risk platform, Habitable. Every Friday, we add a climate risk score to the real estate listings featured in the news this week and ask: Could you live here as the climate changes?

Using a model developed by a team of Berkeley data scientists at Climate Check, Habitable scores each property for heat, flood, drought, and fire risk on a scale of 1-10. One represents the lowest risk and 10 is the highest. Our rating for each hazard is based on climate change projections through 2050. (You can check your own home’s climate risk here.)

For today’s edition, I apply the Habitable Index to check the climate risk of houses that are local heroes — star listings in locations on the outskirts of major cities. What’s interesting is that across the country buyers are still spending big for risky properties although there are some surprises and exceptions.

1. New Jersey

Aaron Rodgers' home in Montclair, New Jersey \u2014\u00a0a white, modern two-story home with windows across the front.Redfin

Controversial quarterback Aaron Rodgers will have nothing to get riled up about in his new Montclair, New Jersey, home during his first season with the New York Jets. The brand new house listed for $11 million (he bought it for $9.5 million) has an overall low climate risk with nothing to worry about besides moderate drought and heat.

Featured in The Daily Mail and sold for $9,500,000

2. Savannah

A two-story, red-brick townhome.Seabolt

The newly renovated childhood home of U.S. Poet Laureate and Pulitzer Prize-winning author Conrad Aiken in a historic Savannah neighborhood is picture perfect and recently listed for $4.9 million. Brand new interior upgrades highlight the historic details. The climate risk is focused on the high heat typical to southern Georgia, which is not bad, all things considered.

Featured in WSJ and listed for $4,900,000

3. Alabama

An expansive stone and wood home in a lush compound.Redfin/ValleyMLS.com

A gated compound on 200 secluded acres in Alabama was the highest price listing in Alabama this month. While it would seem habitable, based on the minimal drought and fire risk, the place will be hot. Still, there are few pictures of the inside of this house, so it’s hard to say how actually Habitable it is for $12 million.

Featured in Home Stratosphere and listed for $12,300,000

4. Minnesota

A three-story home on a narrow private island in the middle of a lake lined with trees.Spacecrafting

This house and location is spectacular! On a private peninsula on Lake Minnetonka in Minnesota, there are views from every room in the house and also from the lighthouse.

But habitable it is not. Not only will the long private driveway leading to the beautiful stone home likely be underwater, it’s probable the multiple decks, porches, and patios that maximize outdoor living will be too.

Featured on CBS News and listed for $14,750,000


5. Connecticut

A light-colored, expansive three-story house behind a well-manicured lawn.Zillow

A record-breaking sale makes Copper Beech Farm in Greenwich the most expensive home ever sold in Connecticut. On 50 acres, the land includes a mile of uninterrupted beach on the Long Island Sound. The historic mansion has nine fireplaces and gorgeous old trees which may contribute to the low heat risk. But with a 9/10 extreme risk for flooding, it’s a high price to pay.

Featured in the New York Post and sold for $138,000,000.

6. Texas

A wide, two-story stone house behind a gravel driveway and a tree.Carol Wood Partners

Texas’ highest priced residential home was just listed outside Houston for $65 million. "The Lodge in Hunters Creek" is Texas-sized (22,000 square feet) and includes a personal 24-hour guard house. I have to admit, the house and the setting and landscaping is stunning. But gosh that is a lot of money to pay to live with the most extreme heat and flood risk with a little drought and fire risk thrown in.

Featured on Fox Business and listed for $65 million.

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Spotlight

An Energy Developer Is Fighting a Data Center in Texas

Things in Sulphur Springs are getting weird.

Energy production and a data center.
Heatmap Illustration/Library of Congress, MSB Global, Luminant

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is trying to pressure a company into breaking a legal agreement for land conservation so a giant data center can be built on the property.

The Lone Star town of Sulphur Springs really wants to welcome data center developer MSB Global, striking a deal this year to bring several data centers with on-site power to the community. The influx of money to the community would be massive: the town would get at least $100 million in annual tax revenue, nearly three times its annual budget. Except there’s a big problem: The project site is on land gifted by a former coal mining company to Sulphur Springs expressly on the condition that it not be used for future energy generation. Part of the reason for this was that the lands were contaminated as a former mine site, and it was expected this property would turn into something like a housing development or public works project.

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Hotspots

Who Really Speaks for the Trees in Sacramento?

A solar developer gets into a forest fight in California, and more of the week’s top conflicts around renewables.

The United States.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

1. Sacramento County, California – A solar project has become a national symbol of the conflicts over large-scale renewables development in forested areas.

  • This week the Sacramento County Board of Supervisors unanimously voted to advance the environmental review for D.E. Shaw Renewables’ Coyote Creek agrivoltaics solar and battery project, which would provide 200 megawatts to the regional energy grid in Sacramento County. As we’ve previously explained, this is a part of central California in needs of a significant renewables build-out to meet its decarbonization goals and wean off a reliance on fossil energy.
  • But a lot of people seem upset over Coyote Creek. The plan for the project currently includes removing thousands of old growth trees, which environmental groups, members of Native tribes, local activists and even The Sacramento Bee have joined hands to oppose. One illustrious person wore a Lorax costume to a hearing on the project in protest.
  • Coyote Creek does represent the quintessential decarb vs. conservation trade-off. D.E. Shaw took at least 1,000 trees off the chopping block in response to the pressure and plans to plant fresh saplings to replace them, but critics have correctly noted that those will potentially take centuries to have the same natural carbon removal capabilities as old growth trees. We’ve seen this kind of story blow up in the solar industry’s face before – do you remember the Fox News scare cycle over Michigan solar and deforestation?
  • But there would be a significant cost to any return to the drawing board: Republicans in Congress have, of course, succeeded in accelerating the phase-out of tax credits under the Inflation Reduction Act. Work on Coyote Creek is expected to start next year, in time to potentially still qualify for the IRA clean electricity credit. I suspect this may have contributed to the county’s decision to advance Coyote Creek without a second look.
  • I believe Coyote Creek represents a new kind of battlefield for conservation groups seeking to compel renewable energy developers into greater accountability for environmental impacts. Is it a good thing that ancient trees might get cut down to build a clean energy project? Absolutely not. But faced with a belligerent federal government and a shrinking window to qualify for tax credits, companies can’t just restart a project at a new site. Meanwhile, the clock is ticking on decarbonizing the electricity grid. .

2. Sedgwick County, Kansas – I am eyeing this county to see whether a fight over a solar farm turns into a full-blown ban on future projects.

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Q&A

How to Build a Data Center, According to an AI-Curious Conservationist

A conversation with Renee Grabe of Nature Forward

Renee Grebe.
Heatmap Illustration

This week’s conversation is with Renee Grabe, a conservation advocate for the environmental group Nature Forward who is focused intently on data center development in Northern Virginia. I reached out to her for a fresh perspective on where data centers and renewable energy development fits in the Commonwealth amidst heightened frustration over land use and agricultural impacts, especially after this past election cycle. I thought her views on policy-making here were refreshingly nuanced.

This transcript was lightly edited for clarity.

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