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An energy-efficient home needs energy-efficient lightbulbs and air conditioners and refrigerators and other gadgets to fill it up. But it all starts with the structure itself. That’s why we recommend you take a good, hard look at your walls, ceiling, floors, windows, doors, roof, and electrical wiring as a first step towards decarbonizing your home life. (Embarking on a renovation? Heatmap has a guide for that.)
When you add air sealing and insulation, get energy efficient windows, or a cool roof that reflects heat back into the environment, you’re either preventing heat from entering or escaping. This stabilizes your indoor air temperature, thereby reducing your heating and cooling loads, which account for 55% of a household’s total energy use, on average. Making these improvements is not only good for the environment, it’s also a boon to your quality of life. Plus, it allows you to get the most bang out of one of Heatmap’s other favorite decarbonization upgrades: replacing your furnace with an electric heat pump, which operates most efficiently in a well-insulated home.
And lest we forget the electrification upgrades, they’re certainly a different beast than the aforementioned ways to seal up your house. But adding new electrical circuits is a prerequisite to installing energy-efficient appliances such as electric stoves, dryers, heat pumps, heat pump water heaters, or EV chargers. And depending how much space is on your electric panel, you might need to upgrade that too.
None of the investments mentioned here (often referred to as weatherization upgrades) will directly decarbonize your space. Insulating your attic won’t free you from fossil fuels, and installing new wiring doesn’t actually electrify anything in and of itself, although they will lower your energy-related emissions. But what these renovations do do is prime you to consume less energy at home just keeping yourself comfortable.
“The weather that you can expect to see where you live is changing over time and changing in a pretty unpredictable manner,” Michael Gartman, a manager at RMI on their carbon-free buildings team, told me. “The benefit of weatherization, unlike some of the other decarbonization measures that you might be thinking about, is it really just shelters you from whatever that change means over time.”
None of this sounds very thrilling, I know. These types of upgrades certainly won’t lead to the same oohs and ahhs that you’d get for buying a shiny new electric vehicle or induction stove. “You often can't see weatherization after it's been completed, and even if you can, I don't think many people are going to be taking guests into their basement and pointing at their floor joists and saying, look at all that insulation,” Gartman told me.
Probably not, but once folks spend some time inside your house, the benefits will become apparent in cooler summer days and cozier winter nights — and lower energy bills. “Even if it’s not sexy, that's something that you're going to feel every year that you're in your home,” Gartman said.
These upgrades that you’re considering — and the attendant reductions in energy use — will have impacts that ripple out beyond your home’s walls and onto the grid at large. After all, residential energy consumption makes up 21% of total energy use in the U.S., and 15% of total emissions.
“Weatherization can reduce peak demand on the grid, which reduces the likelihood of the grid going down in the coldest winter nights or hottest summer days,” Gartman told me. This makes the grid greener, too, as utilities often meet demand spikes by calling on fossil fuel sources such as gas plants, which can ramp up and down quickly. A smoother demand curve can thereby increase the share of renewables in the mix. And in the case that the grid does fail and the power goes out, a fully weatherized home is a safer home, protecting you and your family from the elements for as long as possible.
Depending on what weatherization measures you go with, as well as your specific circumstances, your savings could eventually surpass your upfront costs. The upgrade that’s most likely to pay for itself is air sealing and insulation, which can lead to energy bills that are 10% to 20% smaller, leading to net savings in just a few years. The Green Building Alliance says cool roofs — which are not suited to every environment — can also pay for themselves in as little as six years. And while complete window replacements are a particularly pricey upgrade, if you opt for storm windows that are installed on top of an existing window, you could see payback as soon as three years time post-installation.
No matter what you choose to do, the absolute best time to do it is when prices are low — and when it comes to energy efficiency upgrades, the discounts have arrived. “A lot of energy performance improvements to houses right now are on sale, and they're going to be on sale until the end of the decade,” Eric Werling, former national director of the Department of Energy’s Zero Energy Ready Homes program, told me. He’s referencing the $1,200 federal tax credit for weatherization, which is available now, and the home efficiency and electrification rebates that will be rolling out this year and next.
But even with this years-long sale, we know that the upfront costs can be tough to shoulder. So don’t feel pressure to drop thousands in the name of decarbonization right now. If you stay in your spot long enough, you’ll eventually need to undertake at least a few home improvement projects. “Anytime anybody does a renovation project or fixes a problem in the house,” Werling told me, “I implore them to think about, is there an opportunity for me to make improvements to the house that will pay for themselves in utility cost savings, but also improve the health and safety and comfort of the house that we live in?”
You’ll find the answer is often yes, and we encourage you to let your friends, family, and neighbors know about it. Because while we trust that you, as a reader, care deeply about the climate, you don’t actually need to give a hoot to benefit from energy efficiency upgrades. As Werling put it, “It's just not about energy, and it's just not about the climate. It's about your home.”
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The enhanced geothermal company just announced a new 19,448-foot well.
Enhanced geothermal company Fervo has drilled another well.
This one is 19,448 feet deep, the company announced Thursday, and includes a 7,500-foot span laterally across the sub-surface. The well — called Sawtooth 7, part of Phase II of its flagship Cape Station project in Milford, Utah — took 21 days to drill, the company said. That matches the time required to drill the wells in Phase I, though the new one is nearly 35% deeper than those, on average, with a 50% greater lateral extension.
The greater depth and distance means greater energy potential from the well, while faster drilling times mean much lower costs. Tim Latimer, Fervo’s co-founder and chief executive, compared the timeline to that of the company’s 2022 Project Red well in Nevada, which achieved a depth of 11,220 feet in 70 days.
“Today, we are drilling deeper, hotter wells that will produce multiples more [megawatts] per well than our Project Red pilot, and we are doing it in a fraction of the time,” Latimer wrote.
Fervo says that its drilling rates at the Cape Station site have improved by 143% since it broke ground there in 2023.
The company says it’s now on track to get project costs down to $5,500 per kilowatt, working toward a goal of $3,000 per kilowatt over the long term. In its IPO filing, Fervo said costs at Cape Station were around $7,000 per kilowatt, indicating significant improvements in drilling efficiency in a relatively short period of time.
The news should be welcome to Fervo and its investors. Shortly after going public in May, the company announced that one of its Utah wells blew out. The company said at the time that there were no injuries, nor was there any environmental damage or “material impact to either cost or schedule of the project” at Cape Station.
Fervo raised almost $2 billion in its IPO, which it said will go to fund further progress on the flagship installation. Shares were trading at around $26 on Thursday afternoon, just shy of their $27 IPO price and up over 13% on the day.
The Earth Fire Alliance is aiming for a constellation of high-resolution sensors that can capture the whole globe every 20 minutes.
Wildfires burn tens of millions of acres worldwide every year, and they’re only becoming more destructive.
For the past few decades, satellites operated by the likes of NASA and NOAA have assisted fire crews in detecting and tracking wildfires in even the most remote, difficult-to-monitor landscapes. But helpful as they are, these systems can’t provide real-time, actionable insights. They typically can’t spot fires until they’ve grown to several acres, for instance. They also only provide an image of the same spot every 12 hours at best, and by the time the data reaches the ground, hours — sometimes days — may have passed.
But the nonprofit Earth Fire Alliance says it’s built a far more capable alternative. In the wee hours of Tuesday morning, it launched three minifridge-sized satellites into orbit, the first components of a purpose-built wildfire detection constellation of more than 50 satellites planned to be fully operational by the 2030s. Designed to detect much smaller blazes than existing systems, the network will give first responders earlier warning and more time to contain fires before they spread. FireSat will also provide the broader scientific community with new data on how and why smaller burns grow into destructive wildfires, helping to improve models of fire behavior amidst a changing climate.
“We’ll be able to see fires as small as five by five meters — that’s the size of a shipping container — and be able to see fires at a lower temperature than a lot of the other satellite systems do,” Karen O’Connor, a founding principal at Earth Fire Alliance, told me. Once the full constellation is in orbit, the goal is to use the satellite’s thermal imaging capabilities to provide updates on fires every 20 minutes. “When you think about how that compares with current systems, they might see two to three acres. They might be over the same region maybe once or twice a day,” O’Connor explained.
The initiative has raised $69 million from a coalition of philanthropic backers, including a $26 million grant from the Bezos Earth Fund, over $15 million from Google.org, and support from the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation, as well as other donors. The alliance’s technical partner, Silicon Valley startup Muon Space, designed and built the satellites. The company validated its tech last March when it launched a prototype satellite into orbit that detected a small fire in Oregon that existing systems missed.
O’Connor told me the team has interviewed hundreds of firefighters, fire agency officials, and fire scientists since the project kicked off six years ago, so that they could design the system to meet their needs. Those features include ultra-high-resolution sensors and an unusually wide field of view — over 930 miles across. Each satellite can quickly scan vast swaths of land, imaging the entire globe in about 12 hours. With more satellites will come greater imaging frequency: The alliance aims to capture an image of any point on Earth at least once an hour by 2029, reaching every 20 minutes by the early 2030s.
Hourly imaging “gets us within operational decision making timeframes,” O’Connor told me. Many fire agencies already receive intelligence updates from weather monitoring stations on this cadence, meaning at this point FireSat data can fit directly into their existing workflows to inform decisions about if, where, and when to deploy crews.
FireSat also provides a much clearer, more detailed view of active fires than standard Earth observation satellites, whose imagery generally lacks the resolution needed to manage fires in real time. Its specialized sensor captures six distinct bands of light — one visible, one near infrared, and four thermal infrared bands — each revealing different characteristics of the fire and its progression.
Visible light provides a baseline view of the landscape, while near infrared wavelengths reveal how vegetation responds to a fire — a stronger near-infrared signal indicates healthy vegetation. Short-wave infrared allows satellites to see through smoke during active fires and identify the areas burning with the most intensity. Mid-wave infrared is FireSat’s most unique and valuable channel for fire detection. Unlike most systems which use a single mid-wave band, FireSat uses two. One is attenuated — essentially tuned down — to allow the sensor to measure extremely hot fires without its gradations becoming saturated. The other is not, allowing the satellite to pick up smaller, lower-intensity blazes.
Long-wave infrared helps detect cooler parts of a fire as well as the temperature of the surrounding landscape, including smoldering areas, burn scars, and changes in ground temperature. This helps researchers better distinguish fire signatures and understand their impacts on smoke and air quality.
The three newly launched satellites will now undergo about three months of testing and calibration before they begin feeding data directly to FireSat’s early adopters, which include Cal Fire in California as well as fire agencies in Colorado, Oregon, Texas, Africa, Australia and Portugal.
“We’ve started with the operational community because we think that they’re the ones that need to be using the data from the beginning,” O’Connor told me. But as FireSat’s data set grows and researchers build a more exact historical record of recent fires, the patterns that emerge should provide valuable scientific insights such as seasonal shifts in fire behavior, how fires spread across different environments, and their impacts on ecosystems, biodiversity, and emissions.
Fire modeling is already evolving quickly these days, as startups and research labs increasingly integrate AI into their wildfire simulation models and risk assessments. Examples include companies like Pano AI and Technosylva, as well as researchers at the USC Viterbi School of Engineering and the University of Buffalo. O’Connor told me she thinks FireSat’s data will help further improve these models. “By having a real-time, regularly updated fire path, they can actually go back in and train those tools again — like this is how the fire actually behaved — so that in the future those types of tools will be better for the operational decision makers.”
FireSat could also help reveal the true global scale of fire activity. Until recently, existing systems couldn’t reliably detect smaller conflagrations, so the historical record has mostly captured only the largest ones. A more complete picture of fire activity will improve carbon emissions accounting and inform better land management practices.
That said, it remains true that not every fire ought to be put out. Fire is a natural — and often essential — ecological cycle that helps landscapes like grasslands, chaparral, and forests stay healthy while clearing dead vegetation that would otherwise accumulate as fuel for more destructive wildfires. O’Connor expects FireSat to play a role here, as well, giving agencies a better way to monitor prescribed burns and naturally occurring fires alike to ensure they deliver their ecological benefits without getting out of hand.
Even so, there are limits to what better detection and more sophisticated modeling can achieve when it comes to reducing the toll of wildfires. As the deadly Los Angeles fires at the beginning of 2025 demonstrated, even blazes caught in their earliest stages can explode under a dangerous combination of high winds and drought — conditions that are becoming increasingly common with climate change. Furthermore, as people continue to build homes and infrastructure along the wildland-urban interface, there are limits to how much technology can protect developments in landscapes that are naturally adapted to burn.
Still, FireSat’s data stands to make a meaningful difference in our ability to respond to an increasingly fire-prone world, though those benefits won’t arrive overnight, of course. These first three satellites will offer an early glimpse of what FireSat can deliver at scale, with the real value of the constellation beginning to emerge by the end of the decade. “Four of the five biggest wildfire years were in the 2020s,” O’Connor told me. “We can’t afford to go any slower than that.”
On Trump’s mineral paradox, China’s Great Green Wall, and sodium-ion batteries
Current conditions: After devastating the U.S. island of Rota in the Northern Mariana Islands territory, Super Typhoon Bavi is barreling toward Taiwan with winds of up to 200 miles per hour • Rare tornadoes brought on by storms touched down in China’s Hubei province, leaving 11 dead • Temperatures in Madrid are hovering at around 100 degrees Fahrenheit all week as the Spanish capital roasts in Europe’s latest heat wave.
Exactly three weeks after President Donald Trump signed a formal memorandum to halt the bombing campaign against Iran that the United States and Israel embarked on nearly five months ago, the war is back on. After Washington accused Tehran of launching missiles at tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz this week, Trump officially declared the resumption of combat. Speaking Wednesday morning at the NATO summit in Turkey, Trump called the Iranian regime “scum,” “sick people,” and “vicious, violent people” when asked about the peace pact during a press conference. “If they had a nuclear weapon, they’d use it,” Trump said. “So as far as I’m concerned, it’s over.” He spent the rest of the day posting more than a dozen videos and photos on his Truth Social account purportedly showing U.S. missile strikes in Iran. “This is in retribution for yesterday’s bombing of ships by Iran,” Trump wrote in one post. “If it happens again, it will get much worse!”
The market is certainly preparing for worse. The price of Murban crude, the benchmark for oil flowing out of the United Arab Emirates, spiked nearly 7% on Wednesday. The European benchmark, Brent crude, jumped more than 5%. The American pricing yardstick, West Texas Intermediate crude, rose by just over 1%. Last month, my colleague Matthew Zeitlin cautioned that, despite a ceasefire, it would take a while for the Strait of Hormuz to return to normal — and “even longer” for energy markets. Emphasis on that last part.
The world’s capacity to generate nuclear energy has increased by 2.2 gigawatts already this year as new Chinese reactors have come online at a rapid clip. By 2035, global nuclear capacity is on track to surge by 44% to 535 gigawatts, up from 372 gigawatts last year. That’s according to the latest forecast from the consultancy BloombergNEF. China, the unrivaled global leader in domestic reactor construction, is largely responsible for the projected spike. Today, the People’s Republic is the world’s No. 2 user of atomic energy behind the U.S., which has long operated the largest fleet of plants on the planet. But China is on pace to surpass the U.S. by 2030 with 102 gigawatts of nuclear capacity.
Among the more promising signs for the democratic world: The U.S. is now working with Japan and South Korea to commercialize new small modular reactor technologies. On Tuesday, at the margins of the NATO summit, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio signed onto a memorandum with the foreign ministers of Japan and South Korea. The document “outlines opportunities for our three countries, which have complementary advantages in the civil nuclear field, to encourage mutually beneficial cooperation among their respective nuclear industries,” the State Department said in a statement.
Right after the presidential inauguration in January 2025, Matthew wrote a sharp piece identifying what he called the “paradox of Trump’s critical minerals crusade.” At issue was the fact that the new Trump administration planned to (and ultimately did) kill off policies designed to spur demand for domestically mined and processed minerals such as lithium, cobalt, and rare earths — even as he slashed barriers to increasing the supply of those metals. U.S. production of minerals is picking up as the White House brokers a growing list of deals to give the government equity stakes in mining firms in exchange for federal support for increasing output. Sure enough, the demand just isn’t there in the U.S. On Tuesday, the Financial Times reported that companies backed by the administration, including rare earths miner MP Materials, uranium producer Energy Fuels, and the rare earths refiner Phoenix Tailings are instead selling their goods to buyers in Asia. Japanese customers were “clamoring” for rare earth metals from Phoenix Tailings, CEO Nick Myers said. The materials the firm produces are ending up “primarily in Korea and Japan.”
That isn’t stopping Trump from reviving his calls for Washington to seize Greenland and its resources from Denmark, a founding NATO ally. Speaking at the conference in the Turkish capital of Ankara, the American president repeated his claim that the U.S. invasion of the world’s largest island following Copenhagen’s collapse to Nazi blitzkrieg in April 1940 should have qualified as a permanent conquest. “We took Greenland and then, stupidly, we gave it back,” Trump told reporters. “We shouldn’t have given it back to them. We’re the ones who need it. We need it for protection of the world, not just the United States.”
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Not to be an old man about it, but I remember the Iraq War distinctly — the debates over the role of Baghdad’s oil and the calls from Congress for increased U.S. production with an eye toward energy independence. Here’s some data that will make you want to dismiss your humble millennial correspondent with an “ok boomer.” On Wednesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration issued a definitive new analysis showing that U.S. petroleum exports hit a record high in April after Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, forcing overseas buyers to find new sources of fuel. Exports increased to 13.6 million barrels per day, 15% more than the previous record set in March.
On the other end of the American energy spectrum, the nation’s largest provider of home battery and solar equipment just launched a distributed compute pilot program for artificial intelligence servers. Under the program, Sunrun will coordinate “the selling of inference capacity to enterprise compute buyers.” In other words, homeowners can earn money by hosting “compute nodes” — small servers —that then supply output to AI companies in much the same way Sunrun’s customers are paid by giving the virtual power plant operators access to solar panels and batteries. “Over nearly two decades, we have perfected our ability to operationalize, finance, and scale distributed assets,” Paul Dickson, Sunrun’s president and chief revenue officer, said in a press release. “We are now using our leadership position in distributed home energy and proven infrastructure to bring compute closer to the sources of energy and inference.”
Much like the United Nations effort to plant trees at the southern edge of the Sahara to keep the desert at bay, China is building a Great Green Wall. Since 1978, the country has planted 66 billion trees and plans another 34 billion by 2050 in a bid to slow the spread of the Gobi and Taklamakan deserts. A new study using satellite measurements of leafy areas found that the planted forests are greening much faster than wild ones. Younger trees grow faster. But even at similar ages, planted stands grew 4.6% faster, meaning they can absorb more carbon. The findings, according to Fertilizer Daily, “suggest global climate models should better distinguish forest types and age when accounting for carbon.”
Sodium-ion technology, as Heatmap’s Katie Brigham explained two years ago, promises cheaper, less combustible batteries than its dominant lithium-ion cousin. But it remains niche and underdeveloped. Perhaps not for long. On Wednesday, sodium battery startup Peak Energy announced plans for a factory in Sacramento capable of producing 4 gigawatt-hours of sodium battery systems annually. “America needs energy storage that is lower cost, more affordable, more reliable and purpose-built to meet the demand coming onto the grid,” Peak Energy CEO Landon Mossburg said in a statement. “This facility is proof that America can lead not only in inventing the technology, but in building it at scale.”