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On car sale trends, South Fork Wind, and fighting the dengue crisis
Current conditions: Deadly tornadoes ripped through Ohio and Indiana overnight • Thai tourist hotspot Chiang Mai is the most polluted city in the world today • The Indian Wells tennis tournament in California was suspended after a swarm of bees descended on the court.
The first utility-scale offshore wind farm in the United States is finally up and running. South Fork Wind’s 12th and final turbine was installed last month, and the project is now delivering power to the Long Island grid, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul announced yesterday. At full capacity, the 130-megawatt farm can generate enough power for about 70,000 homes. Construction on the project took about two years to complete. “This is just the beginning of New York’s offshore wind future,” Hochul said. The offshore wind sector has faced economic setbacks in the last year, with major projects delayed or canceled due to supply chain problems and rising costs. But there’s “every indication that there’s developer confidence in the sector,” Theodore Paradise, an attorney specializing in offshore wind at the law firm K&L Gates, told Canary Media. Two more projects – Massachusetts’ Vineyard Wind farm and Rhode Island’s Revolution Wind farm – are expected to be completed in coming months. States in the Northeast are planning to solicit proposals for new projects amounting to 6 gigawatts of offshore wind capacity and are developing cheaper and more efficient regional transmission infrastructure. “Overall, we see the industry is moving forward,” Paradise told Canary.
Orsted
Hybrid car sales in the U.S. grew five times faster than those of fully-electric vehicles last month, according to Morgan Stanley. The rise in hybrid demand is fueled by customers who may be interested in making the leap to an electric vehicle but still have reservations about things like price, design, and range. Whatever the reason, though, car makers and suppliers are responding accordingly: Reutersreported that Ford plans to double the share of hybrid F-150s to 20% of its sales. Toyota plans to increase its hybrid offerings and overall hybrid sales. German supplier Schaeffler will invest $230 million in an Ohio factory to increase production of hybrid components. Hybrid production in the U.S. could rise to as much as 20% of total light-vehicle production by 2025, compared with 14% for EVs. “The industry shift toward hybrids challenges the Biden administration's pro-EV climate policies, and environmental groups that want automakers to phase out CO2-emitting internal combustion engines as quickly as possible,” Reuters said.
As President Biden prepares to run for re-election, one fact has eluded much notice: His climate change policies are pretty popular. An exclusive Heatmap poll of 1,000 Americans conducted by Benenson Strategy Group late last year found that most respondents backed the core ideas behind Biden’s climate policies. They expressed the most support of ideas meant to beef up the country’s manufacturing economy and build more renewable electricity. Some key takeaways:
“At first I doubted the veracity of these results,” said Heatmap’s Robinson Meyer. And he’s probably not alone. Most Americans underestimate public support for pro-climate policies. But Heatmap’s results largely match other polling. And that is despite the overwhelming public disappointment in Biden, whose approval rating has fallen to 37%, an all-time low of his presidency. “At first glance,” Robinson wrote, “Biden’s climate policy might seem to pose a paradox: It’s really popular (at least facially), but nobody has seemed to notice. That may persist through the November election. But it will not be able to last for too long after that.”
After months of disruptive protests by angry farmers, the European Union looks poised to weaken its climate proposals aimed at the agriculture sector, Bloombergreported. The new rules, expected as early as today, would reportedly let farmers off the hook for things like promoting biodiversity, preventing soil erosion, improving soil health, and reducing reliance on chemical pesticides. “Taken together, they would enable farmers to get EU subsidies even if they don't meet the most basic environmental standards,” Politicoexplained. Farmers have argued the bloc’s environmental policies are too burdensome at a time when their own operational costs are on the rise and food prices have fallen. Last week the European Environment Agency released a report warning that the EU is unprepared for climate change, singling out agriculture as a sector where urgent action is needed “if the Continent is to avoid catastrophic floods, years-long droughts and scorching heatwaves,” Politico said.
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Six cities in Brazil are releasing bacteria-infected mosquitoes in an effort to control the nation’s dengue emergency. The mosquito-borne virus is on the rise in South America; already more than a million Brazilians have been infected in 2024. While it is often asymptomatic, in some cases the disease can cause extreme joint pain, and more than 35,000 people die from infections each year. Climate change is making the dengue crisis worse by raising temperatures and increasing rainfall in some areas, expanding mosquitoes’ breeding grounds.
The new program in Brazil involves breeding mosquitoes infected with a bacteria called Wolbachia. “Wild females that mate with Wolbachia-infected males produce eggs that don’t hatch,” explainedMIT Technology Review. “Wolbachia-infected females produce offspring that are also infected. Over time, the bacteria spread throughout the population.” As one official put it: “We’re essentially vaccinating mosquitoes against giving humans disease.”
“At the risk of repeating a cliché, it tastes a lot like chicken.” –Daniel Natusch of Macquarie University in Sydney, co-author of a new study published in Scientific Reports that suggests “python farming may offer a flexible and efficient response to global food insecurity.”
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A conversation with VDE Americas CEO Brian Grenko.
This week’s Q&A is about hail. Last week, we explained how and why hail storm damage in Texas may have helped galvanize opposition to renewable energy there. So I decided to reach out to Brian Grenko, CEO of renewables engineering advisory firm VDE Americas, to talk about how developers can make sure their projects are not only resistant to hail but also prevent that sort of pushback.
The following conversation has been lightly edited for clarity.
Hiya Brian. So why’d you get into the hail issue?
Obviously solar panels are made with glass that can allow the sunlight to come through. People have to remember that when you install a project, you’re financing it for 35 to 40 years. While the odds of you getting significant hail in California or Arizona are low, it happens a lot throughout the country. And if you think about some of these large projects, they may be in the middle of nowhere, but they are taking hundreds if not thousands of acres of land in some cases. So the chances of them encountering large hail over that lifespan is pretty significant.
We partnered with one of the country’s foremost experts on hail and developed a really interesting technology that can digest radar data and tell folks if they’re developing a project what the [likelihood] will be if there’s significant hail.
Solar panels can withstand one-inch hail – a golfball size – but once you get over two inches, that’s when hail starts breaking solar panels. So it’s important to understand, first and foremost, if you’re developing a project, you need to know the frequency of those events. Once you know that, you need to start thinking about how to design a system to mitigate that risk.
The government agencies that look over land use, how do they handle this particular issue? Are there regulations in place to deal with hail risk?
The regulatory aspects still to consider are about land use. There are authorities with jurisdiction at the federal, state, and local level. Usually, it starts with the local level and with a use permit – a conditional use permit. The developer goes in front of the township or the city or the county, whoever has jurisdiction of wherever the property is going to go. That’s where it gets political.
To answer your question about hail, I don’t know if any of the [authority having jurisdictions] really care about hail. There are folks out there that don’t like solar because it’s an eyesore. I respect that – I don’t agree with that, per se, but I understand and appreciate it. There’s folks with an agenda that just don’t want solar.
So okay, how can developers approach hail risk in a way that makes communities more comfortable?
The bad news is that solar panels use a lot of glass. They take up a lot of land. If you have hail dropping from the sky, that’s a risk.
The good news is that you can design a system to be resilient to that. Even in places like Texas, where you get large hail, preparing can mean the difference between a project that is destroyed and a project that isn’t. We did a case study about a project in the East Texas area called Fighting Jays that had catastrophic damage. We’re very familiar with the area, we work with a lot of clients, and we found three other projects within a five-mile radius that all had minimal damage. That simple decision [to be ready for when storms hit] can make the complete difference.
And more of the week’s big fights around renewable energy.
1. Long Island, New York – We saw the face of the resistance to the war on renewable energy in the Big Apple this week, as protestors rallied in support of offshore wind for a change.
2. Elsewhere on Long Island – The city of Glen Cove is on the verge of being the next New York City-area community with a battery storage ban, discussing this week whether to ban BESS for at least one year amid fire fears.
3. Garrett County, Maryland – Fight readers tell me they’d like to hear a piece of good news for once, so here’s this: A 300-megawatt solar project proposed by REV Solar in rural Maryland appears to be moving forward without a hitch.
4. Stark County, Ohio – The Ohio Public Siting Board rejected Samsung C&T’s Stark Solar project, citing “consistent opposition to the project from each of the local government entities and their impacted constituents.”
5. Ingham County, Michigan – GOP lawmakers in the Michigan State Capitol are advancing legislation to undo the state’s permitting primacy law, which allows developers to evade municipalities that deny projects on unreasonable grounds. It’s unlikely the legislation will become law.
6. Churchill County, Nevada – Commissioners have upheld the special use permit for the Redwood Materials battery storage project we told you about last week.
Long Islanders, meanwhile, are showing up in support of offshore wind, and more in this week’s edition of The Fight.
Local renewables restrictions are on the rise in the Hawkeye State – and it might have something to do with carbon pipelines.
Iowa’s known as a renewables growth area, producing more wind energy than any other state and offering ample acreage for utility-scale solar development. This has happened despite the fact that Iowa, like Ohio, is home to many large agricultural facilities – a trait that has often fomented conflict over specific projects. Iowa has defied this logic in part because the state was very early to renewables, enacting a state portfolio standard in 1983, signed into law by a Republican governor.
But something else is now on the rise: Counties are passing anti-renewables moratoria and ordinances restricting solar and wind energy development. We analyzed Heatmap Pro data on local laws and found a rise in local restrictions starting in 2021, leading to nearly 20 of the state’s 99 counties – about one fifth – having some form of restrictive ordinance on solar, wind or battery storage.
What is sparking this hostility? Some of it might be counties following the partisan trend, as renewable energy has struggled in hyper-conservative spots in the U.S. But it may also have to do with an outsized focus on land use rights and energy development that emerged from the conflict over carbon pipelines, which has intensified opposition to any usage of eminent domain for energy development.
The central node of this tension is the Summit Carbon Solutions CO2 pipeline. As we explained in a previous edition of The Fight, the carbon transportation network would cross five states, and has galvanized rural opposition against it. Last November, I predicted the Summit pipeline would have an easier time under Trump because of his circle’s support for oil and gas, as well as the placement of former North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum as interior secretary, as Burgum was a major Summit supporter.
Admittedly, this prediction has turned out to be incorrect – but it had nothing to do with Trump. Instead, Summit is now stalled because grassroots opposition to the pipeline quickly mobilized to pressure regulators in states the pipeline is proposed to traverse. They’re aiming to deny the company permits and lobbying state legislatures to pass bills banning the use of eminent domain for carbon pipelines. One of those states is South Dakota, where the governor last month signed an eminent domain ban for CO2 pipelines. On Thursday, South Dakota regulators denied key permits for the pipeline for the third time in a row.
Another place where the Summit opposition is working furiously: Iowa, where opposition to the CO2 pipeline network is so intense that it became an issue in the 2020 presidential primary. Regulators in the state have been more willing to greenlight permits for the project, but grassroots activists have pressured many counties into some form of opposition.
The same counties with CO2 pipeline moratoria have enacted bans or land use restrictions on developing various forms of renewables, too. Like Kossuth County, which passed a resolution decrying the use of eminent domain to construct the Summit pipeline – and then three months later enacted a moratorium on utility-scale solar.
I asked Jessica Manzour, a conservation program associate with Sierra Club fighting the Summit pipeline, about this phenomenon earlier this week. She told me that some counties are opposing CO2 pipelines and then suddenly tacking on or pivoting to renewables next. In other cases, counties with a burgeoning opposition to renewables take up the pipeline cause, too. In either case, this general frustration with energy companies developing large plots of land is kicking up dust in places that previously may have had a much lower opposition risk.
“We painted a roadmap with this Summit fight,” said Jess Manzour, a campaigner with Sierra Club involved in organizing opposition to the pipeline at the grassroots level, who said zealous anti-renewables activists and officials are in some cases lumping these items together under a broad umbrella. ”I don’t know if it’s the people pushing for these ordinances, rather than people taking advantage of the situation.”