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Climate

AM Briefing: Snow, or No?

On wild winter weather, logging in Canada, and electric firetrucks

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AM Briefing: Snow, or No?
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: More than 300 flood warnings are in place across England • Hazardous waves up to 16 feet tall are slamming into the California coast • Rain and snow is expected this weekend in Japan's Ishikawa Prefecture, where rescuers are racing against time to find earthquake survivors.

THE TOP FIVE

1. Northeast braces for first major winter storm of the season

It’s been almost 700 days since Central Park received an inch of snow, and it doesn’t look like that snowless streak will end any time soon. A winter storm is targeting the Northeast this weekend but forecasters think major coastal cities including New York, Washington, D.C., and Philadelphia will see mostly rain. Up to 12 inches of snow could fall farther inland, though, and the same system could bring heavy rainfall – and possibly ice – to the South and Southeast today before heading north. Meanwhile, much of the West remains in a severe snow drought, with California registering its lowest snowpack in a decade.

Expected preciptation totals over the next 72 hours.NOAA

The warm winter weather trend – caused by a combination of man-made climate change and the El Niño weather pattern – has become impossible to ignore, promting somber reflections on how the seasons aren’t what they used to be. “There’s this sort of existential offness,” Heather Hansman, author of the book Powder Days: Ski Bums, Ski Towns, and the Future of Chasing Snow, told Vox. “My body knows that this isn’t right.”

2. Wisconsin’s largest solar farm comes online

A massive solar farm in Wisconsin became fully operational this week. The 300 megawatt Badger Hollow Solar Farm spans 3,500 acres and has 830,000 solar panels capable of powering about 90,000 homes. It is the state’s largest solar farm, and one of the biggest in the Midwest region. The project’s panels are bifacial, meaning they can capture solar energy on both sides. This is important in areas with lots of snowfall because the panels can absorb solar energy reflected off the ground.

3. Azerbaijan names COP29 president

Azerbaijan, which is the host country for next year’s COP29, has appointed its environment minister Mukhtar Babayev as president of the climate summit. There isn’t a lot of public information available about Babayev, but according to Climate Home News, he spent 26 years working for the country’s state-owned oil and gas company Socar where his job involved trying to “reverse the environmental damage caused by the company.” One source told Climate Home News that Babayev was “nice” and “soft” but added “you don’t feel the authority and status like from [COP28 president] Sultan [Al-Jaber], I don’t feel he is an independent person able to push for phasing out fossil fuels globally.”

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4. Study: Logging has decimated Canada’s boreal forests

A new study published in the journal Land found that 35.4 million acres of Canada’s evergreen forests in the provinces of Ontario and Quebec have been effectively lost to logging since 1976. And the government-approved methods used to regenerate those forests — which require loggers to replant cleared areas or show that the region will recover on its own — have had a devastating result. While 56 million acres of older trees remain across the two provinces, that acreage is now interspersed with patchworks of newly planted trees chosen for their future suitability for logging, not for purposes of ecological diversity or wildfire prevention, explains Heatmap’s Jacob Lambert. “So while Canada may not have widespread deforestation, what it does have are swaths of newer trees that are far less effective than their forebears when it comes to carbon capture, species diversity, and wildfire prevention.”

5. Germany’s emissions drop to 70-year low

Germany’s greenhouse gas emissions dropped about 10% in 2023 to a 70-year low, according to analysis from think tank Agora Energiewende. Last year’s dip is “largely attributable to a strong decrease in coal power generation,” Agora says. At the same time, renewables accounted for more than 50% of the country’s electricity generation. Germany is Europe’s largest economy, and it aims to cut emissions by at least 65% by 2030 and become carbon neutral by 2045. Agora warns last year’s emissions cuts aren’t entirely sustainable, and calls for policy changes and greater investment in climate solutions to maintain momentum.

THE KICKER

Arizona just got its first all-electric firetruck, the Vector:

REV Group/E-ONE

Yellow

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AM Briefing

BAAJA Blast

On COP31, France’s antinuclear left, and Paraguay’s crisis

The Capitol.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

Current conditions: Another atmospheric river is deluging the West Coast, this time in the Pacific Northwest • Dozens of U.S. cities notched record high temperatures in October • At least 11 of Thailand’s southern provinces are under emergency warnings for flooding and nearly 7-foot waves amid a surge of monsoon conditions.


THE TOP FIVE

1. The UN climate summit begins in Turkey

The 31st annual global climate summit kicked off this morning in Antalya, a Turkish resort city on the country’s southern Mediterranean coast. Known as the 31st Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, or COP31, the event marks the second year in a row that virtually every nation on Earth will gather except the United States, after President Donald Trump withdrew the country from both the landmark 2015 Paris Agreement and from the larger global body shortly after his return to office last year. The biggest item on this year’s agenda, reports my colleague Emily Pontecorvo, is the “35x35” pledge, Turkey’s proposal to electrify 35% of the world’s final energy use by 2035. Today the world uses electricity for just 21% of end-use energy. As I reported last week, the latest projections from the Rhodium Group put the likely electrification rate worldwide at 28% by 2035.

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Blue
Energy

The Last-Minute Changes to the Senate Permitting Deal, Explained

A new version of the bill strives to address environmental and tribal concerns while strengthening some of its transmission provisions.

Power lines and data center construction.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

We now have the updated final text of the bipartisan Senate permitting deal. Will it be enough to get the bill across the finish line?

On Saturday morning, senators released a reworked version of the Bipartisan Affordability and American Jobs Act. This version, known as a “manager’s amendment” under parliamentary procedure, aims to address many of the concerns and criticisms raised about the bill and will become the official legislative text that ultimately gets a vote in the Senate. There’s something in these changes for everyone – environmentalists, tribes, utilities – but it remains to be seen if they put the bill into a Goldilocks zone.

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Climate

What to Know About COP31

The “35x35” electrification pledge and an AI pledge are on the table.

Antalya, Turkey.
Heatmap Illustration/Getty Images

World leaders are flocking to the Mediterranean resort town of Antalya, Turkey, this weekend for the 31st United Nations Climate Change Conference, also known as COP31. The U.S., of course, will once again not attend, as President Trump not only withdrew the country from the Paris Agreement but also from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the umbrella group that organizes the annual conferences. Still, 194 other governments will be there, putting their heads together on how to move another few inches toward a safer future.

This year, as with the last several convenings, the meeting arrives against a backdrop of geopolitical instability, worsening climate impacts, and growing concern about energy security and affordability. While conflicts like the Iran war in some ways bolster the case for the energy transition by surfacing the risks of fossil fuel dependence, prioritizing energy security can manifest as countries turning inward and showing less willingness to work for the global good.

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Green